11月进出口数据10日上午如期公布。据海关统计，11月进出口总值为3391.3亿美元，增长1.5%；其中，出口1793.8亿美元，增长2.9%；进口1597.5亿美元，与去年同期持平。总体而言，11月进出口增速双双下降；11月2.9%的出口增速远低于10月的11.6%，出乎市场意料。

November 10, import and export data released this morning as scheduled.According to customs statistics,November import and export value is 339.13 billion dollars,Growth of 1.5%;the,Export $179.38 billion,Growth of 2.9%;Imported 159.75 billion us dollars,The same with the same period last year.In general,November both import and export growth decline;November 2.9% of export growth is far lower than 11.6% in October,unexpected.

　　分析人士认为，进出口数据表现疲软表明尽管其它数据暗示中国经济增速已开始回升，但仍面临需求疲软等外部风险。此外，虽然年内中国的进出口或仍延续当前疲弱之势，但明年的外贸形势可能略好于今年。

Analysts believe that,Import and export data softness that although other data suggest that China's economic growth has begun to rebound,But still faces weak demand and external risk.In addition,Although years China's import and export or still continue the current potential of the weak,But next year's foreign trade situation may be slightly better than this year.

　　交通银行金融研究中心高级宏观分析师唐建伟指出，出口很难有趋势性的反转，因为外部环境总体不是很乐观。临近年底美国还面临财政悬崖的问题，欧洲也没有根本性改善。在这种背景下，出口难有明显改观，全年可能也就8%左右，进口估计5%都不一定能实现。

Bank of communications financial research center TangJianWei senior macro analysts pointed out,The reversal of the trend is very difficult to export,Because the external environment overall is not very optimistic.Near the end of the year the United States also faces the problem of financial cliff,Europe also have no fundamental improvement.In this background,Export difficult have obvious difference,Throughout the year may also is about 8%,Import estimated 5% is not necessarily can realize.

　　渣打集团经济学家王志浩表示，中国11月的出口数据令人失望。这是因为外部经济仍表现不佳。他表示，中国经济虽已出现复苏的初步迹象，但似乎需要一段时间才能体现在进口数据上面。鉴于全球经济增长不大可能明显好转，王志浩预计中国出口只会温和增长，明年的出口增幅在8%-9%之间。

Standard chartered group economist Stephen green said,China's November export data disappointing.This is because the external economy is still poor performance.He said,China's economy is already in the initial signs of recovery,But it seems need a period of time to reflect on the import data.In view of global economic growth is unlikely to be improved obviously,Stephen green is expected to China's exports will only moderate growth,Next year's export growth between 8% and 9%.

　　汇丰经济学家马晓萍认为，中国11月出口数据印证了外部需求仍然疲软的客观现象。在马晓萍看来，鉴于全球面临的不确定因素，如欧洲持续不断的危机及美国的财政悬崖问题，中国的贸易前景仍不乐观。如果美国情况进一步恶化的话，中国可能不得不更多地依赖投资来刺激经济增长。

HSBC economists MaXiaoPing think,China's November export data confirm the external demand remains weak objective phenomenon.In MaXiaoPing seems,In view of the global face uncertainty,Such as the European continuous crisis and the financial cliff problem,China's trade prospects is still not optimistic.If the situation if further deterioration,China may have to rely on more investment to stimulate economic growth.

　　野村证券驻香港首席中国经济学家张智威表示，出口减速显示，对美国财政悬崖的担忧令外需面临不确定性。不过尽管如此，其所在机构依然坚持认为，受到内部因素的推动，中国经济将在四季度步入强势复苏轨道。

Nomura securities in Hong Kong, chief China economist ZhangZhiWei said,Export deceleration display,In the United States financial cliff concerns now to face uncertainty.But even so,The institution is still insists,Internal factors are driving,China's economy will be in the fourth quarter into a strong recovery track.

　　至于中国明年的外贸形势，中国国际经济交流中心副理事长兼秘书长、商务部原副部长魏建国日前接受媒体采访时表示，明年的外贸形势依然不太乐观。主要存有三方面的不确定性：首先，我国最大的贸易伙伴——欧盟的债务危机解决前景不明朗；其次，美国经济数据恢复能否持续也是未知数；最后，明年的贸易保护主义可能比今年更为严重。不仅是美国、欧盟，我国和新兴国家之间的贸易摩擦可能也会加剧。但即便如此，魏建国认为明年的外贸目标不会调整，还会维持10%的增长目标。这是因为，稳外贸政策效应的释放和对新兴市场的开拓将会对我国的外贸增长形成一定支撑。

As for China next year's foreign trade situation,China international economic communication center vice President and secretary general/The ministry of commerce former vice-minister has accepted the media interview said,Next year's foreign trade situation is still not optimistic.The main entities of the uncertainty of the three aspects:First of all,China's largest trading partner, the eu's debt crisis solve future uncertain;secondly,The United States economic data recovery can be sustained is unknown;finally,Next year's trade protectionism than this year may be more severe.Is not only the United States/The European Union,China and emerging countries trade friction between may also aggravate.But even so,Mr Wei think next year's foreign trade goal will not adjust,Will keep 10% of the growth target.This is because,Foreign trade policy effect the release of the stability and the emerging market development will be on China's foreign trade growth form must support.

　　此外，商务部10月底发布的《中国对外贸易形势报告（2012年秋季）》报告曾指出，2013年中国对外贸易发展面临的内外部环境可能略好于2012年。不过，制约外贸稳定回升的阻力依然存在；随着国内外环境的深刻变化，中国外贸可能难以再现前些年的持续高速增长。

In addition,The ministry of commerce issued the end of October[China's foreign trade situation report(In the fall of 2012)]The report has pointed out that,In 2013, the Chinese foreign trade development facing the inside and outside environment may be slightly better than 2012 years.but,Restrict foreign trade stable picks up resistance remains;With the profound changes of the environment at home and abroad,China's foreign trade may be difficult to reproduce the sustainable growth in previous years.