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11月份进出口数据点评--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2012-12-12

  较高基数效应造成外贸增速明显下滑。11月份我国出口额同比增长2.9%,进口额同比零增长,出口额进口增速分别较上月下降了8.7和2.4个百分点。从环比增速来看,11月我国出口额环比增长2.2%,进口金额环比增长11.3%,出口额的环比增速明显低于本世纪初以来同期均值,进口额环比增速比历史同期均值略高,这与海外经济持续低迷和国内经济出现好转有关。但是,由于去年11月进口和出口额环比增速相对较高,较高的基数使得今年11月进口和出口增速均明显下滑。

Higher base effect caused by foreign trade growth decline significantly.November exports year-on-year growth of 2.9% in China,Imports up zero growth,Export and import growth were more last month fell 8.7 and 2.4%.See from the link growth,November our country exports link growth of 2.2%,The import amount link growth of 11.3%,Export of link growth was significantly lower than the same period since the turn of the century the mean,Import link growth than the same period of history mean slightly high,And this continued economic downturn overseas and domestic economy in the better.but,Because last November import and export link relatively high growth,Higher base that November import and export growth were significantly decline.

  一般贸易增速明显恶化,加工贸易相对较好。分贸易方式来看,11月份一般贸易出口额和进口额的同比增速分别为-4.3%和-7.9%,一般贸易出口和进口增速分别较上月下降了14.4和1.5个百分点;来料加工装配贸易出口额和进口额增速分别为-1.1%和-1.5%,增速分别较上月提高了1.7和-3.3个百分点;进料加工贸易出口额和进口额增速分别为2.8%和7.9%,分别较上月下降了1.5和0.7个百分点。本月加工贸易(尤其是进料加工贸易)增速明显高于一般贸易增速可能主要与海外的圣诞节订单有关。

General trade growth significantly worse,Processing trade is relatively good.Points to the trade way,The November general trade export and import year-on-year growth respectively 4.3% and 7.9%,General trade export and import growth were more last month fell 14.4 and 1.5%;Processing and assembling trade export and import growth respectively 1.1% and 1.5%,Growth last month were more improved by 1.7 and 3.3%,Feed processing trade export and import growth were 2.8% and 7.9% respectively,Last month were more fell 1.5 and 0.7%.Processing trade this month(Especially feed processing trade)Growth is obviously higher than that of the general trade growth may be the main and overseas relevant Christmas orders.

  我国与主要贸易伙伴国的进出口明显恶化,但与香港和台湾的贸易显著好转。分国别来看,11月我国对主要贸易伙伴出口额出现负增长,尤其是对主要的欧盟国家出口增速非常低,但对东南亚国家、香港和台湾的出口增速仍然较高;进口方面,本月我国从日本和欧盟进口增速较低,但从香港、台湾、韩国和美国的进口额维持较高的正增长。

Our country and main import and export trade partners markedly worse,But with the Hong Kong and Taiwan trade marked improvement.Points allocated to see,In November the main trade partners exports appear negative growth,Especially for the major eu countries export growth is very low,But to southeast Asian countries/Hong Kong and Taiwan's export growth remains high,Import aspects,In China this month from Japan and the European Union imports low,But from Hong Kong/Taiwan/South Korea and the United States imports to maintain higher positive growth.

  受价格下滑影响部分原材料进口金额同比大幅下降,进口量同比明显下降造成部分工业品进口额明显下滑。从主要进口商品来看,受进口价格同比明显下降的影响,天然橡胶、合成橡胶、胶合板、纸浆、纺织用合成纤维、铁矿砂和废金属进口额明显负增长;大豆、ABS树脂、肥料、纸、钢坯及粗锻件、未锻造的铜材和金属加工机床受进口量明显下降的影响进口额同比大幅下降。

By the prices of imported raw materials influence the amount of year-on-year decline sharply,Imports up obvious decline in imports of industrial products a significant slowdown.From the main imports to see,Subject to import price year-on-year decline significantly influence,Natural rubber/Synthetic rubber/plywood/pulp/Textile synthetic fiber/Iron ore and scrap imports obvious negative growth;soybean/ABS resin/fertilizer/paper/Steel billet and rough forging/Not wrought copper and metal processing machine imports decreased obviously by the influence of the amount of imports up sharply.

  12月份进出口同比增速可能会略有好转。11月进出口增速明显下滑主要受到去年同期环比增速较高的影响,考虑到去年12月份进出口环比增速较低,12月份进出口增速可能会略有好转。

December import and export year-on-year growth may be a little better.November import and export growth are mainly affected by the significant slowdown from the same period last year growth of annulus higher impact,Considering the December import and export chain growth is low,December import and export growth may be a little better.



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