美智库称明年“货币战”或引发全球“贸易战”

American think-tank said next year"Currency war"Or trigger a global"Trade war"

　　俄罗斯媒体刊文说，彼得森世界经济研究所认为，全球经济正进入保护主义的冰河期，明年可能出现各国竞相压低本币币值的“货币战”，进而引发全球性“贸易战”。彼得森研究所预测，“世界经济末日”的导火索是人为压低本国币值以推动出口的举动。美国是这一行为的始作俑者，之后将出现多米诺骨牌效应。文章称，2008年全球金融危机之后，压低本币汇率已成为令人担心的趋势。经济学家认为，为这种趋势定调的是美国，该国贷款利率极低，向证券市场注入资金，并把这些措施当作应对金融危机的手段，引发美元汇率走低。美联储数据显示，近十年来美元汇率下降了25%。彼得森的专家警告说，如果将本币汇率压得过低，这一贸易保护主义政策可能引发世界“贸易战”。

Russian media KanWen said,Peterson institute of world economy thought,The global economy is entering protectionism of the ice age,Next year may appear to lower the value of the currency, according to the world"Currency war",Causing global"Trade war".Peterson institute forecast,"The end of the world economy"The fuse is its currency artificially low to promote export move.The United States is the behavior of the creation,Then will appear domino effect.The article says,2008 years after the global financial crisis,Down local currency exchange rate has become a worrying trend.Economists think,For this trend pitch is the United States,The loan interest rate is extremely low,The securities market to inject funds,And take these measures as a means of coping with a financial crisis,Cause the dollar falling.The fed data display,In the past ten years the dollar dropped by 25%.Peterson's experts warn,If the local currency exchange rate pressure too low,The trade protectionism policy could cause the world"Trade war".

　　路透社说意大利看守总理呼吁就改革进行辩论

Reuters said the Italian prime minister, is calling for reform keep debate

　　路透中文网12月25日报道说，已提交辞呈的意大利看守总理蒙蒂24日在网上公布其改革计划，敦促意大利人对该国的未来进行讨论。目前距离该国大选还有两个月，竞选角逐预计将十分惨烈。在犹豫数周后，蒙蒂23日宣布可带领一个倡导改革的中间派联盟寻求连任，以实现他一年前上任时启动的经济改革计划。文章指出，蒙蒂被任命为技术专家政府总理，将意大利拯救出金融危机。现如今他已放弃中立立场，加入这场将由他严苛的改革计划所主导的竞选中。蒙蒂在网上发布的致意大利人民的公开信及长达25页的政策计划中表示，希望这些议题可以引发“开放性的反思”，进而有助于在2月24-25日大选前就此展开辩论。他呼吁严加控制预算及进行结构性改革，并采取措施打击贪腐，让更多妇女及年轻人回到工作岗位。

Reuters online December 25, reports say,Submitted his resignation to the prime minister of Italy keeper briant 24 in online released its reform plan,Urged Italian to the country's future is discussed.At present the country's election distance and two months,Campaign for is expected to be very horrifying.After a few weeks in hesitation,Briant 23 announced that can lead a advocating reform udc seek reelection,In order to realize his office a year ago when start of economic reform plan.The author points out that,Briant was appointed technical experts the government of prime minister,Italy will save out of the financial crisis.Now he has to give up neutrality,Join the reform plan by his cruel dominated in the campaign.Briant posted on a web site that the Italian people's letter and for up to 25 pages of policy plan says,Hope these issues can trigger"Open reflection",And then help in feb. 24-25 before a general election in this debate.He called for strict control budget and structural reform,And take measures against corruption,Let more women and young people to go back to work.

　　美报告称全球主要农作物生产出现滞涨乃至放缓迹象

Beauty report says the global main crop production appear stagflation and slow signs

　　美国《华盛顿邮报》网站12月24日报道，美国《自然》杂志刊登美国明尼苏达大学所作的一项研究报告说，全球农业在经过数十年快速增长后，世界上最重要的四种农产品——玉米、大米、小麦、大豆的生产，在某些地区可能正出现滞涨乃至放缓。在全球人口数量仍不断增长的情况下，这是一个潜在的大问题。报道说，这是该大学5名学者对过去50年的大量统计报告进行分析后得出的结论。他们谨慎地指出，在部分地区，农作物生产仍在继续增长，不过上述四种作物的种植地区中，24%-39%的地区产量要么从未增加，要么甚至大幅减少。这涉及这四种农产品全球产量的四分之一到三分之一。报告作者认为，出现这一局面的原因之一是，人们提高农作物产量的努力更多地集中在喂养牲口和生产汽车燃料上，很大程度上忽视了对小麦和大米等全球粮食安全基础作物的投资。

The United States[The Washington post]Website reported on December 24,The United States[natural]The university of Minnesota magazine published a research report said,Global agriculture after decades of rapid growth,The world's most important four kinds of agricultural products, corn/rice/wheat/Soybean production,In some areas there may be sluggish and slow.In the global population is still growing cases,This is potentially a big problem.Reports say,This is the university over the past fifty years five academics of statistical report after analyzing the conclusion.They carefully pointed out,In some areas,Crop production is still in continue to grow,But the above four kinds of crops in the area,24% - 39% of the area yield or never increase,Or even sharply reduce.This involves the four a quarter of the global production of agricultural products to a third.The report's authors think,The situation is one of the reasons,People increase crop yields efforts more on feeding cattle and production car fuel,Largely ignored on wheat and rice and other global food security investment based crops.