据报道，铁矿石价格在近期大幅上涨，分析师预计中国明年铁矿石购买量将创历史新高，因为经济增长的加速将会刺激铁矿石的需求，而中国是铁矿石大买家。

According to the report,Iron ore prices rose sharply in the near future,Analysts expect China's iron ore next year will be buying a record,Because the acceleration of economic growth will stimulate the demand of iron ore,While China is a big buyer of iron ore.

　　彭博社调查的10位分析师平均预计中国2013年铁矿石进口量将增长6.9%，至7.78亿吨，相当于全球铁矿石出口的65%。摩根士丹利的数据显示，海运需求将连续第十年超出供应。西太平洋银行经济学家JustinSmirk预计铁矿石价格将在明年6月前上涨26%，至每吨170美元。这位分析师准确预见了今年铁矿石价格的下跌，彭博社的追踪研究发现，他是金属行业内预测最准的分析师。

Bloomberg survey 10 analyst is expected to average 2013 years of Chinese iron ore imports will increase by 6.9%,To 778 million tons,Equivalent to 65% of the global iron ore export.Morgan Stanley figures show,Shipping requirements will be beyond our tenth consecutive year of supply.The western Pacific bank economists JustinSmirk expected iron ore prices will in the next 6 months rose 26%,To $170 per ton.The analysts accurate foresee this year iron ore prices,Bloomberg tracking study found,He is the most accurate prediction in metal industry analysts.

　　由于中国经济增速连续七个季度放缓，铁矿石价格在今年9月份创下三年来新低。由于人们开始相信中国经济至少在未来六个月里将加速增长，铁矿石价格截至目前已经反弹了56%。铁矿石价格的反弹对于淡水河谷来说是个好事。彭博社调查的分析师预计，淡水河谷明年利润将增长19%。淡水河谷是全球最大的铁矿石出口商。

Because of China's economic growth slowdown in seven consecutive quarters,Iron ore prices in September this year hit a new low for three years.As people began to believe that China's economy in the future at least six months will accelerate growth,Iron ore prices up to now has a 56% rally.Iron ore prices rebound for freshwater river valley is a good thing.Bloomberg survey of analysts expected,CVRD profits next year will increase by 19%.CVRD is the world's largest iron ore exporter.

　　西太平洋银行的Smirk表示，“我们有理由变得乐观。我们看到中国经济在复苏，中国的经济政策已经完成了从紧缩到宽松的转变。”

The western Pacific bank Smirk said,"We have reason to become optimistic.We see in China's economic recovery,China's economic policy has completed the transformation from tight to loose."

　　当前中国天津港铁矿石价格为每吨135.40美元，今年下跌了2.2%，四季度平均价为119.56美元。天津港价格是全球铁矿石价格的标杆。标准普尔24种原材料CSCI指数上涨了0.4%，MSCI全球所有国家股指上涨了13%。美国银行提供的数据显示，国债回报率为2%。

The current China tianjin iron ore price is $135.40 per ton,This year dropped 2.2%,The fourth quarter average price of $119.56.Tianjin port price is the global iron ore price benchmarking.Standard &poor's 24 kinds of raw materials CSCI index rose 0.4%,MSCI world index rose 13% in all countries.Bank of America to provide the data display,National debt rate of return is 2%.

　　根据14位分析师预期的中间值看，明年一季度天津港铁矿石价格将平均为每吨119美元，在随后三个月上涨至122美元。投资者可以与SSYFutures、LondonDryBulk、GFIGroup、ClarksonPlc与FreightInvestorServices等经纪公司进行互换交易。发布天津价格的TheSteelIndex上月表示，今年衍生市场交易额可能将达到1.5亿吨，去年为5300万吨。

According to 14 analysts expected intermediate value to see,In the first quarter of next year tianjin iron ore prices will average $119 per ton,In the next three months up to $122.Investors can and SSYFutures/LondonDryBulk/GFIGroup/ClarksonPlc and FreightInvestorServices and other brokerage company in a swap deal.Release the price of tianjin TheSteelIndex said last month,This derivative market turnover may will reach 150 million tons,Last year for 53 million tons.

　　全球最大的船运经纪公司Clarkson表示，明年海运量将增长6%，至11.8亿吨，与2012年的增速相同。摩根士丹利预计明年海运需求将较供应超出2800万吨，将延续自至少2004年来的运输缺口趋势。行业咨询公司MEPS(国际)预计，全球钢铁产量自那时以来已经增长了50%左右。

The world's largest shipping agency company Clarkson said,HaiYunLiang next year will increase by 6%,To 1.18 billion tons,And in 2012, the rate of growth of the same.Morgan Stanley reckons shipping requirements will be next year is more than 28 million tons of supplies,Will continue for at least 2004 years since the transportation gap trend.Industry consulting company MEPS(international)Is expected to,Global steel production since then has increased by 50%.

　　瑞士信贷集团表示，中国今年头11个月钢铁产量占全球产量的47%，预计中国明年产量还将增长6%。北京安泰科信息开发有限公司表示，自10月底以来，中国港口铁矿石库存已经下降了19%，至7132万吨，创两年多来新低。瑞银认为中国钢铁厂需要补充库存，这将刺激铁矿石的进口。

Credit suisse group said,In the first 11 months of this year, China's steel production accounted for 47% of global production,China is expected to yield also next year will increase by 6%.Beijing antaike information development co., LTD., the company said,Since since the end of October,China's iron ore port stocks have fallen by 19%,To 71.32 million tons,And a new low for more than two years.Ubs think that China's steel mills need to replenish stock,This will stimulate the import of iron ore.

　　汇丰控股与MarkitEconomics于12月14日发布的调查显示，中国12月制造业扩张速度可能加快，预示中国经济正在转好。中国政府批准大约2000公里长的道路项目、18座城市以及更多铁路建设项目。

HSBC holdings and MarkitEconomics on December 14, a survey released,China December manufacturing expansion speed may speed up,Predict China's economy is turned for the better.Approved by the Chinese government about 2000 kilometers of road project/And city and more railway construction project.

　　在中国经济转好的同时，17国欧元区以及日元经济重新陷入衰退。驻布鲁塞尔的世界钢铁协会表示，欧元区与日本钢铁产量占全球的16%，27国的欧盟11月钢铁产量同比下降了5.3%，日本下降了2.3%。

In China's economic turn good at the same time,17 countries the euro area and the economy back into recession.In Brussels world steel association says,The euro area and Japan accounted for 16% of global steel production,27 eu November steel output fell 5.3% year-on-year,Japan fell 2.3%.

　　如果国会没有就财政悬崖问题达成协议，全球第三大钢铁生产国美国的钢铁需求也可能会减弱。美国国会预算办公室表示，如果国会没有达成协议，那么美国经济很可能会陷入衰退。白宫表示，奥巴马总统已提前结束休假并于今日到达华盛顿，以便恢复有关预算的谈判。

If congress did not have reached agreement on the question of financial cliff,The world's third largest steel producer American iron and steel demand may be weakened.The congressional budget office said,If congress did not reach an agreement,Then the United States economy is likely to fall into recession.The White House says,President Obama has put an end to leave and in this day to Washington,In order to restore the budget negotiations.

　　根据瑞士信贷与澳大利亚新西兰银行集团的估算，当前铁矿石价格是澳大利亚与巴西开采成本的两倍以上，也高于中国自采的每吨100美元的成本。铁矿石价格的上涨可能会促使中国矿业公司大幅提高产量，导致中国进口需求下降。

According to the credit suisse and Australia New Zealand bank group estimates,The current iron ore price is Australia and Brazil mining cost more than twice as much,Also higher than China since the recovery of the cost of $100 per ton.Iron ore prices may contribute to China's mining companies increase production,China's import demand to drop.

　　价格上涨以及运输量提高可能不足以让船主恢复盈利，目前运输能力依然过剩。伦敦波罗的海交易所的数据显示，好望角型货船今年报价下降了82%，该货船所的铁矿石运输要大于任何其它型号的货船。伦敦波罗的海交易所公布61条海运线路的报价。九位分析师预期的中值是明年运输价格为每天12250美元，要想让船东不亏本，每天的价格应该为15500美元。

Prices and improve traffic may not be able to let owner return to profit,At present transport capacity is surplus.London Baltic exchange data display,Cape type cargo price this year fell 82%,The ship have iron ore transportation than any other type of ship.London Baltic exchange published article 61 shipping line offer.Nine analysts expected value is in the next transport price for 12250 dollars a day,If you want to let them do not lose money,The price of every day should be 15500 dollars.

　　中国钢铁产量在11月同比增长了14%，至5447万吨。上海期货交易所钢筋价格本月上涨11%左右，创自7月以来新高。海关数据显示，中国11月铁矿石进口6578成品万吨，是有史以来进口第二多的一个月。

The China iron and steel production in the November year-on-year growth of 14%,To 54.47 million tons.Shanghai futures exchange steel prices rise 11% this month,And since July since high.Customs data shows,China's iron ore import November 6578 finished ten thousand tons,The second is the import of a month.