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我国外贸有望微幅上升--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2013-01-04

  回首2012年,我国外贸整体呈下行走势。2013年,我国外贸发展面临的内外部环境将略好于2012年,但国际国内的风险因素叠加仍将对我国外贸发展造成较大压力。预计2013年我国出口增速较2012年有所回升,但难有大幅改善,仍将远低于过去10年的平均增速,进口增速将有所提高。 

Looking back in 2012,China's foreign trade as a whole a downward trend.In 2013,,Our country foreign trade development are faced with the internal and external environment will be slightly better in 2012,But the risk of international and domestic factors superposition will still cause tremendous pressure to our country foreign trade development.Is expected in 2013 China's export growth in 2012,But it is difficult to improve significantly,Will still far lower than the average growth of the past ten years,Import growth rate will be increased. 

  2012年,欧洲债务危机不断发酵,美国经济增长动力不足,新兴市场国家经济减速,我国经济下行压力加大,全年外贸整体呈下行走势。在主要经济体对外贸易增速普遍放缓或负增长的情况下,我国占全球贸易的份额有望保持稳定或微幅上升。 

In 2012,,The European debt crisis continuous fermentation,Insufficient motive force of economic growth in the United States,Emerging market countries economic slowdown,China's economic downward pressure increase,The year foreign trade overall downward trend.In major economies under the situation of foreign trade growth is slow or negative growth,Share of global trade in China is expected to remain stable or slightly rising. 

  进出口增速低位运行 

Import and export growth running low 

  2012年1~11月,我国进出口总值35002.8亿美元,同比增长5.8%。其中出口18499.1亿美元,增长7.3%,进口15603.7亿美元,增长4.1%;贸易顺差1995.4亿美元,扩大44.1%。 

1 to November 2012,China's import and export total $3.50028 trillion,A year-on-year increase of 5.8%.The export of $1.84991 trillion,Growth of 7.3%,Imported 1.56037 trillion us dollars,Growth of 4.1%;Trade surplus of $199.54 billion,To expand by 44.1%. 

  除1、2、5月份由于节假日因素影响月度进出口增速出现较大波动外,月度出口增速均为个位数。 

In addition to 1/2/In may due to holiday factors monthly import and export growth larger fluctuations in outside,Monthly export growth is comfortable. 

  资源型产品进口较快 

Import of resources products quickly 

  机电产品出口稳定增长。2012年1~11月,机电产品和高新技术产品分别出口10645.4和5392.3亿美元,均增长8.2%,并高出同期整体出口增速0.9个百分点。劳动密集型产品出口缓中趋稳,其中纺织品、服装、家具、鞋类、箱包、塑料制品、玩具等七大类劳动密集型产品出口增长7.4%。“两高一资”产品出口继续下降。2012年1~11月,焦炭及半焦炭、煤及褐煤、钢坯及粗锻件、未锻轧铝出口分别下降70.8%、43.3%、17.1%和15.8%。 

Mechanical and electrical products export stable growth.1 to November 2012,Mechanical and electrical products and new high-tech product export $10645.4 and $539.23 billion respectively,Both an increase of 8.2%,And higher overall export growth of 0.9% over the same period.Stabilised in labor-intensive products are exported to slow,The textiles/clothing/furniture/footwear/bags/Plastic products/Toys seven kind of labor-intensive products export growth of 7.4%."Two tall information"Exports continued to decline.1 to November 2012,Coke and semi - coke/Coal and lignite/Billet and rough forging/Not forged aluminum exports fell 70.8%, respectively/43.3%/17.1% and 15.8%. 

  2012年1~11月,我国进口铁矿石6.7亿吨,增加8.2%,进口均价为每吨130.2美元,下跌21.7%;大豆5249万吨,增加11.4%,进口均价为每吨593.8美元,上涨3.9%。机电产品进口7099亿美元,增长3.4%;其中汽车105.2万辆,增加13.2%。 

1 to November 2012,China imported 670 million tons of iron ore,An increase of 8.2%,Import average price of $130.2 per ton,Fell by 21.7%;52.49 million tons of soybeans,An increase of 11.4%,Import average price of $593.8 per ton,Rose 3.9%.Import of mechanical and electronic products to $709.9 billion,Growth of 3.4%;Including 1.052 million vehicles,An increase of 13.2%. 

  与新兴国家贸易比重提升 

Trade with emerging countries the proportion of ascension 

  我国与美国、金砖国家等重要贸易伙伴贸易增长平稳。2012年1~11月,我国与美国双边贸易总额同比增长8.2%,与东盟、俄罗斯、南非和巴西双边贸易总额分别增长9.3%、11.9%、30.4%和1.3%。与欧盟、日本贸易总额同比下降4.1%和2.9%。 

China and the United States/Gold ingot national important trading partners such as trade growth smoothly.1 to November 2012,Total bilateral trade between China and the United States increased 8.2% year-on-year,With asean/Russia/South Africa and Brazil total bilateral trade growth rate of 9.3%, respectively/11.9%/30.4% and 1.3%.And the European Union/Japan's trade volume down 4.1% and 2.9%. 

  我国与新兴市场国家贸易比重不断提升,东盟持续保持我第三大贸易伙伴地位,南非等新兴市场国家在我贸易伙伴中地位有所提高。2012年我对美出口增速11月首次由正转负,较10月下降11.6个百分点;对欧盟出口今年以来一直为负增长(2、5月份除外)。 

China's trade with emerging market countries the proportion,Asean maintain my third largest trading partner,South Africa and other emerging market countries improve in my trading partner status.I exports to America in 2012 from positive to negative growth in November for the first time,A 11.6% decline in October;Exports to the European Union this year has been for negative growth(2/Except in May). 

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