渣打银行昨日在港召开发布会宣布，2012年11月份渣打人民币环球指数升至新高的737.该行预计，中国贸易双顺差决定2 0 13年人民币或仍将继续升值，2013年年末美元/人民币将指向6 .10水平。

Standard chartered bank in Hong Kong yesterday held a conference announced,In November 2012 standard chartered RMB global index rose to high 737. The bank is expected,China's trade surplus decided to 2 0 13 years RMB or will continue to rise,By the end of 2013 dollar/yuan will point to 6 . Ten level.

　　人民币环球指数升至新高

The universal index rose to new highs

　　据渣打公布，2012年11月份渣打人民币环球指数升至新高的737，而10月为731.

According to the standard chartered bank announced,In November 2012 standard chartered RMB global index rose to high of 737,While October for 731.

　　渣打方面介绍，指数升幅由四个参数中的三个带动，包括未到期的离岸人民币债券和存款证、离岸人民币存款和贸易结算以及其他国际付款。受惠于中国经济复苏和人民币升值预期、环球人民币结算活动不断增加以及政策支持，渣打预期指数将持续上升。

Standard chartered introduced,Index rose by four parameters of three drive,Including undue offshore RMB bonds and certificates of deposit/Offshore RMB deposit and trade settlement and other international payment.Benefit from China's economic recovery and RMB appreciation/Global RMB settlement activity increased and policy support,Standard chartered expectations index will continue to rise.

　　市场规模方面，香港、新加坡、伦敦离岸人民币市场的规模比例为78：11：11，而由于跨境人民币结算强劲，使伦敦的规模追上了新加坡。除此之外，由于台湾囤积大量零售人民币服务需求，渣打相信有机会于今年内被纳入指数。

Market size of,Hong Kong/Singapore/London offshore RMB market scale ratio for 78:11:11,Due to strong cross-border RMB settlement,Make the size of the London overtook Singapore.In addition,Because Taiwan hold large retail RMB service needs,Standard chartered believe that have a chance this year be included in the index.

　　渣打人民币环球指数覆盖三个主要的人民币离岸市场，包括香港、伦敦和新加坡；计算包括存款（财富储存）、点心债券和存款证（融资工具）、贸易结算和其他国际付款（国际商贸）以及外汇（交易渠道）四项业务的增长。

Standard chartered RMB global index cover three main RMB offshore market,Including Hong Kong/London and Singapore;Calculation including deposit(Wealth storage)/Snack bonds and certificates of deposit(Financing tool)/Trade settlement and other international payment(The international trade and business)And exchange(Trade channel)Four business growth.

　　人民币贸易总量将持续上升

The trade volume will continue to increase

　　渣打香港亚洲区高级经济师刘健恒昨日向南都记者分析认为，随着内地贸易总量复苏，以及市场对人民币升值预期回归，预计今年人民币贸易总量将持续上升，这使得今年香港银行的人民币贷款增长将好过去年，预计年底离岸人民币存款最少达7000亿元。

Standard chartered Hong Kong Asia senior economist LiuJianHeng yesterday to SMW reporter analysis think,The mainland trade volume resuscitation,And the market for RMB appreciation regression,This year the yuan is expected to trade volume will continue to increase,This makes this year Hong Kong bank RMB loan growth will better than last year,At the end of the year is expected to offshore RMB deposit at least $700 billion.

　　谈及目前市场普遍热议的Q D II2政策，他表示，由于Q D II2主要以美元为主，不会马上增加资金池规模，因此，短期对离岸人民币市场影响不大。但中长期来看，有望加大至以人民币为主导，推动海外资金池的扩大。

Talk about the present market generally hot discussion of Q D II2 policy,He said,Due to the Q D II2 mainly dollars is given priority to,Won't increase the pool size,so,The short-term impact is not big to offshore RMB market.But long-term to see,Is expected to increase to use renminbi as the dominant,Promote the expansion of overseas funds pool.

　　渣打香港高级外汇策略师罗铭勤则向南都记者预期，今年人民币点心债包括存款证的发行总额3200亿- 3500亿人民币，非人民币存款证金额为1400亿元。预计2013年人民币或仍将继续温和升值，2013年年末美元/人民币将指向6.10水平。

Standard chartered Hong Kong advanced foreign exchange LuoMingQin strategists are expected to SMW reporters,This year the yuan snacks including debt issuance of certificates of deposit of 320 billion - 350 billion yuan,The RMB certificates of deposit amount of $140 billion.Is expected to 2013 yuan, or will continue to moderate appreciation,By the end of 2013 dollar/yuan will point to the level of 6.10.