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对进口能源依赖不断增长 土耳其能源外交色彩浓--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2013-03-07

  随着经济快速发展,加上国内油气资源贫乏,土耳其进口能源的依赖不断增长。这不仅加大了土耳其经济的脆弱性,也令其外交政策日益显露浓重的能源色彩。

With the rapid economic development,Plus the lack of domestic oil and gas resources,Turkey's dependence on imported energy continues to grow.This not only increased the Turkey's economic vulnerability,Also makes its foreign policy emerging energy dense color.

  2012年,土耳其能源进口额大幅增长11%,至601亿美元,创历史新高,占当年进口总额的比例超过25%。国际货币基金组织预计,到2017年,土耳其能源进口额将超过700亿美元,比2012年增长超过16%。

In 2012,,Turkey's energy imports surged 11%,To $60.1 billion,A record high,Accounted for the proportion of total imports more than 25%.The international monetary fund expects,By 2017,Turkey's energy imports will exceed $70 billion,More than 16% higher than in 2012.

  2012年,土耳其出口增长13%,达1525亿美元,创下历史新高,但贸易逆差依然达到839亿美元,这其中超过600亿美元的能源进口是导致贸易逆差的最主要原因。而贸易逆差令土耳其经常项目赤字居高不下,成为威胁经济增长的风险之一。2012年土耳其经常项目赤字489亿美元,虽然与前一年相比有所下降,但占国内生产总值的比重依然高达6%,远超适宜水平。国际货币基金组织就曾警告,不断扩大的经常项目赤字已成为土耳其经济稳健增长的最大威胁。

In 2012,,Turkish export growth of 13%,Of $152.5 billion,Hit a record high,But the trade deficit is still $83.9 billion,The more than $60 billion in energy imports is the main cause of the trade deficit.The trade deficit to Turkey current-account deficit remains high,Become a threat to economic growth of one of the risk.Turkey's current-account deficit of $48.9 billion in 2012,Although compared with the previous year fell,But the proportion of gross domestic product is still as high as 6%,Far more than the appropriate level.The international monetary fund has warned,Widening current account deficit has become the greatest threat to Turkey to steady economic growth.

  除去对自身经济的负面影响,对进口能源的依赖也令土耳其很难在对外交往上做到游刃有余。 

Remove negative impact on its economy,Dependence on imported energy on foreign communication also makes Turkey it's hard to do it. 

  土耳其能源部长耶尔德兹说,土耳其所需能源的75%依赖进口。目前,土耳其从11个国家进口石油,从5个国家进口天然气

Turkey's energy minister, Yale said,Turkey needed to 75% dependence on imported energy.At present,Turkey import oil from 11 countries,Natural gas imports from five countries.

  而地区内两大历史竞争对手伊朗和俄罗斯恰恰是土耳其石油和天然气进口的最主要来源国。数据显示,2012年土耳其从伊朗进口石油756万吨,从俄罗斯进口天然气275亿立方米。由于从伊朗和俄罗斯进口的油气占到土耳其油气进口总规模的近90%,土耳其在对两国的外交政策上颇受掣肘。虽然在叙利亚问题上存在严重分歧,但土耳其必须努力维持与两国的能源合作关系。

And the region two historic rivals Iran and Russia is Turkey's most of the main sources of oil and gas imports.Data display,In 2012, 7.56 million tons of oil imports from Iran, Turkey,27.5 billion cubic metres of gas imports from Russia.Due to the oil and gas imports from Iran and Russia accounted for Turkish imports nearly 90% of the total scale of oil and gas,Turkey in the two countries' foreign policy constraints.Although there is a serious rift on the problem in Syria,But Turkey must strive to maintain relationship with the energy cooperation between the two countries.

  在去年年底的土俄首脑伊斯坦布尔会晤中,土耳其采取了“冷静实用主义”的态度,计划增加俄罗斯天然气进口量,并合作建设核电站。在同伊朗的关系中,尽管受到来自美国的强大压力,但为了确保能源供应安全,土耳其仍坚持执行与伊朗“黄金换天然气”的协议,并继续从伊朗进口石油。

At the end of last year the Russian leaders meeting in Istanbul,Turkey has taken"Calm and pragmatic"The attitude of the,Plans to add Russian gas imports,And cooperation to build nuclear power stations.In relations with Iran,Despite strong pressure from the United States,But in order to ensure energy supply safety,Turkey is still sticking to it with Iran"Gold in natural gas"The agreement,And to continue importing oil from Iran.

  此外,在北非和中东政治动荡开始后,土耳其不惜冲在第一线,对发生变革的阿拉伯国家施以援手,这里面也深藏着能源外交的考量。今年伊始,土耳其接连拉近与阿尔及利亚、卡塔尔和利比亚的关系,力求从三国进口更多天然气和石油,以保障能源供应多样化。

In addition,Political unrest in north Africa and the Middle East after the start,Turkey at in the first line,The change of the Arab countries to help,This is also hidden deep inside with consideration of energy diplomacy.At the beginning of this year,In Turkey have gap with Algeria/Qatar and Libya,Strive to import more from the three gas and oil,In order to ensure energy supply diversification.

  可以预见,随着经济持续发展,土耳其的能源进口需求还将进一步扩大。这在加大土耳经济发展对外部变化依赖性的同时,也会令土耳其外交政策不可避免地打上越来越明显的能源烙印。

Can foresee,As the economy continues to develop,Turkey's energy import demand will also further expanded.In the increasing dependence on Turkey to external changes in economic development and at the same time,Also can make the Turkish foreign policy inevitably more and more obvious energy the brand mark.



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