在出口连续两个月收获同比20%以上的高增速下，今年1-2月，贸易顺差累计达到441.5亿美元。其中，2月贸易顺差为152.5亿美元，较去年同期319.8亿美元的贸易逆差明显改善。分析人士预计，贸易顺差的扩大将在未来给人民币带来升值压力，但全年大幅升值的可能性并不大。

In exports for two months in a row harvest more than 20% compared to the high growth,1-2 months this year,Accumulated trade surplus to $44.15 billion.Among them,February's trade surplus with the us $15.25 billion,From last year's $31.98 billion trade deficit obviously improved.Analysts expect,The expansion of trade surplus will bring to the RMB appreciation pressure in the future,But the year is unlikely to rise sharply.

　　渣打中国首席经济学家王志浩昨日指出，由于出口比进口增速快，月度贸易顺差的情况将更多出现，这意味着人民币的升值压力加大，央行需冲销的银行间流动性也增多。

Standard chartered's chief China economist Stephen green said yesterday,Due to export than import growth rate faster,Monthly trade surplus will appear more,This means that the pressure on the appreciation of the renminbi,Central Banks need to reverse the interbank liquidity also increased.

　　最新的报告中指出，整体而言2月外贸数据有利市场气氛，应可为人民币即期汇率和离岸市场带来进一步上涨动力，在不损及中国出口商及增长的情况，现在人民币有更大升值空间，而顺差扩大令来自外部的升值压力加大。

The latest report,Overall foreign trade data in February favorable market atmosphere,Should bring RMB spot rate and the offshore market further gains momentum,Without hurt Chinese exporters and growth,Now the yuan have a greater appreciation of space,The surplus expand the appreciation pressure from outside.

　　“一旦说我们的外贸表现还可以，特别是出口还可以，而美元走软的话，那我们会抓住机会做一个升值动作。大方向央行应该还是希望人民币稳中有升。” 招商银行总行金融市场部高级分析师刘东亮昨日在接受路透采访时也表示。

"Our foreign trade can also once said,Especially the export can also,While a weaker dollar,Then we'd take the opportunity to do an appreciation of the action.Big central Banks should still want the yuan has." China merchants bank, head office finance department, a senior analyst at LiuDongLiang yesterday also said in an interview with Reuters.

　　恰在昨日，在2月强劲外贸数据带动下，人民币中间价和即期汇率昨日双双创下近两个月来的新高。其中，3月8日，人民币对美元中间价为6.2719元，较前一交易日升值66个基点。

Just yesterday,Strong foreign trade data driven out in February,The yuan central parity and the spot exchange rate yesterday both at new highs of the past two months.Among them,On March 8,,The yuan central parity rate against the dollar at 6.2719 yuan,The previous trading day to rise 66 basis points.

　　不过，多数分析人士看来，但随着国内经济回暖态势的进一步确立，后期进口增速有望赶上甚至超过出口，全年顺差规模将比去年有所回落，同时占GDP的比重更小，全年人民币不具备大幅升值空间。

but,Most analysts,However, as the domestic economic recovery situation is further established,Import growth is expected to catch up with and even late more than exports,Full-year surplus will fall from last year,At the same time as a share of GDP is smaller,Throughout the year a huge rise in the yuan does not have space.

　　显见的是，全国政协委员、中国人民银行副行长易纲早前表示，目前人民币汇率离均衡点很近。“今年的汇率会更加均衡、富有弹性，并且会基本保持稳定。”

Obvious is,The CPPCC national committee/Yi gang, deputy governor of the people's bank of China said earlier,Currently the RMB exchange rate is close to equilibrium."The exchange rate will be more balanced this year/elastic,And will be basic remain stable."