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外贸再回两位数增长?--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-03-12
周五公布的中国进出口数据表现强劲超出市场预期。经济学人智库(EIU)在给《第一财经日报》记者发来的分析报告中预测,2013年中国进、出口增幅均会略高于10%。
China import and export data released on Friday show strong beat market expectations.The economist intelligence unit(The EIU)At a given[First financial daily]Reporters from the analysis report,In 2013 in China/Export growth will be slightly higher than 10%.
根据中国海关总署的数据,1~2月,我国进出口总值3.83万亿元人民币(折合6093.1亿美元),扣除汇率因素同比(下同)增长14.2%。其中出口2.05万亿元人民币(折合3267.3亿美元),增长23.6%;进口1.78万亿元人民币(折合2825.8亿美元),增长5%。
According to Chinese customs data,1 ~ 2 month,China's import and export gross 3.83 trillion yuan(Us $609.31 billion),Compared to the deduction rate factors(The same below)Growth of 14.2%.Which exports 2.05 trillion yuan(Us $326.73 billion),Growth of 23.6%;Import is 1.78 trillion yuan RMB(Us $282.58 billion),Growth of 5%.
无论是外贸整体表现还是超过两成增速的出口表现,都远超市场预期,显示了中国外贸企稳反弹的迹象。
Both foreign trade overall performance and growth rate of more than twenty percent export performance,Are far more than market expectations,Shows signs of stabilizing rebound of China's foreign trade.
“今天(8日)早上公布的贸易数据出乎意料。即使考虑到月度数据一般具有较大的波动性以及中国春节的季节性因素,把前两个月的数据综合起来看,出口依然同比增长高达23.6%,进口增长5%。”EIU中国服务副总监及全球高级计量经济学家刘倩说,显然美国和欧洲的经济回暖让中国收益。
"today(8)Trade figures released by the unexpected in the morning.Even if considering the monthly data generally has higher volatility as well as the Chinese New Year seasonal factors,Read the first two months of data are combined,Export still rose as high as 23.6%,Imports rose 5%."The The EIU China service, deputy director and senior economist liu qian said measurement around the world,Obviously the recovery in the United States and Europe to China.
刘倩分析,欧元区暂时避免了解散的危险,美国房地产和劳动力市场是近年来的高点。除此之外,新兴市场的数据也令人惊喜。进口与出口通常展现出较为相似的走势,因为进口中相当一部分产品是以出口为目的的来料加工材料。
Liu qian analysis,The euro zone's temporarily avoid the risk of dissolution,America's housing and Labour markets are high in recent years.In addition to this,Emerging market data is also amazing.Imports and exports generally show a relatively similar moves,Because a considerable number of imported products in exports for the purpose of processing with materials.
EIU仍认为今年进口的增速将超过出口,2013年进、出口增幅均会略高于10%。”
The The EIU still think import growth this year will more than exports,In 2013/Export growth will be slightly higher than 10%."
前两月,在与主要贸易伙伴双边贸易中,中国与美国、东盟增势良好。前2个月,中国与欧盟双边贸易增长3.2%、与日本下降8.2%。同期,与美国、东盟双边贸易分别增长14.8%和22%。
Two months before,In bilateral trade with major trading partners,China and the United States/The association of southeast Asian nations (asean) fared well.Two months before,China and the eu bilateral trade grew by 3.2%/And Japan fell by 8.2%.At the same time,With the United States/Asean bilateral trade grew by 14.8% and 14.8% respectively.
2012年,中国货物进出口总额38668亿美元,比上年增长6.2%。
In 2012,,China's import and export of goods totaled $3.8668 trillion,An increase of 6.2% over the previous year.
作者:盛媛
The author:ChengYuan
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