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国际家具贸易增长需求大--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2013-03-16

  米兰轻工业信息中心认为今后10年世界家具业的发展基本情况是:各主要市场的进口有所增加,进口大国是美国、德国、法国和英国,出口增长十分迅速的是中国。从2002年到2007年,家具的国际贸易量翻番。2008年达到峰值为1180亿美元,2009年由于金融危机的影响下跌了20%,2010年出现了恢复性增长,约为1000亿美元。 

Milan light industry information center believe that the next 10 years is the development basic situation of the world furniture industry:Imports have increased in major markets,Importer is the United States/Germany/France and the UK,Export growth very rapidly is China.From 2002 to 2002,Double international trade of furniture.Peak of $118 billion in 2008,In 2009 because of the influence of the financial crisis, fell 20%,A restorative growth in 2010,About $100 billion. 

  2011年和2012年世界宏观经济状况对世界经济的发展是有利的,全球经济增长率为4.5%。但是主要担忧是发达国家的失业率高企和增长速度远低于发展中国家。同时由于油价上涨、潜在的主权债务违约、汇率政策的不协调引发的对抗等,都会对全球经济增长带来不确定性。世界家具业也存在着类似问题,总的来看,形势是有利的,但在地区和国家之间存在重大差异,特别是国际家具贸易将继续增长,2012年将达到危机前的水平,即1180亿美元。 

In 2011 and 2012, the macroeconomic situation is favorable to the development of world economy,Global economic growth rate of 4.5%.But the main concern is the high unemployment of developed countries and the growth rate is far lower than the developing countries.At the same time due to the rise in oil prices/Potential sovereign debt default/Exchange rate policy coordination caused by the confrontation, etc,Will create uncertainty for the global economy growth.The world furniture industry there is a similar problem,On the whole,The situation is favorable,But the major differences between regions and countries,Especially the international furniture trade will continue to grow,In 2012, will reach pre-crisis levels,The $118 billion. 

  根据各国和有关机构报告的情况,可以得出以下结论: 

Depending on the countries and relevant agencies report,You can draw the following conclusions: 

  对国际家具业的发展和2011年至2012年的国际家具贸易有理由持谨慎乐观的态度,在全世界各地区存在重大的差异,西欧和北美的家具需求增长缓慢。而东欧、南美、中东、亚洲包括日本将有较快的增长。 

On the development of the international furniture industry and from 2011 to 2012, the international furniture trade is reason for cautious optimism,There are significant differences between regions of the world,Western Europe and North America furniture demand growth slowly.And eastern Europe/In South America/In the Middle East/There will be rapid growth in Asia, including Japan. 

  会议期间殴洲人造板联合会公布:2010年欧洲的刨花板产量为4200万立方米,中纤板为1500万立方米,定向刨花板为500万立方米。欧洲的人造板工业面临着成本的增加,木材价格上涨8%,胶黏剂上涨15%,能源上涨10%,运输费用上涨5%。预计随着阿拉伯国家和北非的危机以及日本的地震、海啸发生会进一步推高成本上涨。2011年的木质人造板的生产会进一步萎缩。 

Chau federation of man-made board announced during the conference:European particle board production is 42 million cubic meters in 2010,In fiber board is 15 million cubic meters,Directional particieboard is 5 million cubic meters.European man-made board industry is faced with increased costs,Lumber prices rose 8%,Adhesive is up 15%,Energy rose 10%,Transportation costs rose 5%.Crisis is expected as the Arab countries and north Africa and Japan's earthquake/Tsunami will further push up the costs.Wooden man-made board production in 2011 will further shrink. 

  另据米兰轻工业信息中心的另一份关于豪华家具市场的研究,全球豪华家具和陈设品的消费市场价约为1570亿美元(出厂价约为700亿美元)。豪华家具市场可以粗分为两大类,其中55%-60%为家具,另外40%-45%的其他豪华项目(陈设品/室内设计);另一种有关的分类是,家庭购买占65%-70%,非居民占30%-35%(宾馆家具、休闲场所家具、餐馆家具、酒店(酒店装修效果图)家具、西餐厅(餐厅装修效果图)桌椅、办公室、零售商店)。 

According to another milan light industry information center research on luxury furniture market,Global consumption of luxury furniture and display article market price of about $157 billion(Ex-factory price of about $70 billion).Can be divided into two categories: thick luxury furniture market,55% - 60% for the furniture,The other 40% - 40% of other luxury items(Display/interior design);Another kind of classification is related to,Home sales accounted for 65% to 70%,Non-residential accounts for 30% to 35%(Hotel furniture/Leisure place furniture/The restaurant furniture/The hotel(Hotel decoration effect)furniture/Western restaurant(Dining-room decorate rendering)Tables and chairs/The office/Retail stores). 

  财产超过100万美元的阶层是豪华家具的主要买主。现在全球约有2400万成年人财产超过100万美元,其中有1080万人在北美,800万在欧洲。他们为奢华(奢华装修效果图)家具和室内陈设品提供了约530亿美元的市场,相当于其国内民用家具和定制家具的消费总量的15%。每年至少有1/4的百万美元富翁(即有600万消费者)购买总计至少900万美元的豪华家具和陈设品。

With more than $1 million in assets class are major buyers of luxury furniture.About 24 million adults now global property of more than $1 million,There are 10.8 million people in North America,8 million in Europe.They are costly(Luxury decoration effect)Furniture and indoor display is tasted provides about $53 billion in market,Equivalent to its domestic civil furniture and 15% of the total consumption of custom furniture.Every year at least a quarter million dollar billionaire(Which have 6 million consumers)To buy a total of at least $9 million in luxury furniture and display items.



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