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全球磷肥贸易面临新挑战--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2013-05-09

  国际磷肥主要生产国为中国、美国、俄罗斯、中东国家和澳大利亚。主要磷肥进口国为印度、东南亚和巴西等南美洲地区。根据数据显示,2001-2011年间全球磷肥市场经历了巨大的变化,需求量呈现持续上涨的态势。印度2001年磷酸二铵的需求量为90万吨,2011年增长至690万吨。全球磷酸二铵需求量由2001年的1250万吨增长至2011年1430万吨。全球磷肥生产地区中,中东地区由于占据了地理和资源优势,生产的肥料就近运输,减少成本,需求量有所上升,如约旦、沙特等。俄罗斯也是磷肥主要生产国,但是由于铁路等运输问题,2012年出口量有所下降。中国在2007年前磷肥的进口量大于出口量,2007年后,实现满足自身需求后出口磷肥。2012年,中国磷肥出口量为400万吨左右。 

International phosphate main producer in China/The United States/Russia/Middle East and Australia.The main phosphate fertilizer importer in India/South American regions such as southeast Asia and Brazil.According to the data shows,2001-2011 global phosphate fertilizer market has experienced great changes,Been rising demand.India's 2001 dap demand for 900000 tons,Growth in 2011 to 6.9 million tons.The global demand of diammonium phosphate from 12.5 million tons in 2001 up to 14.3 million tons in 2011.In phosphate fertilizer production areas worldwide,In the Middle East due to occupied the geographical and resource advantages,Production of fertilizer transport to the nearest,To reduce the cost,Demand is rising,Such as Jordan/Saudi Arabia, etc..Russia was the main producer of phosphate fertilizer,But due to railway transportation problems,Exports declined in 2012.In China 2007 years ago phosphate fertilizer imports than exports,2007 years later,Implement export phosphate fertilizer after meet their own needs.In 2012,,China's phosphate fertilizer exports of 4 million tons. 

  2001-2011年间,除了需求量发生了巨大变化外,主要出口国和出口地区也发生重大变化。调查研究显示,亚洲是全球磷酸二铵需求量最大的地区,其次是拉丁美洲。亚洲地区主要的二铵进口国为印度,印度的磷肥需求量,将会影响到全球磷肥的出口量。IFA数据表明,印度二铵的进口在十年间增长了近600万吨,2011年达到了690万吨。但是2012年,印度磷酸二铵市场需求有所下降,至600万吨左右。其主要原因一是印度国内二铵还有不少库存,二是由于印度政府的肥料补贴政策调整,对于其它肥料的应用较多,磷肥需求量小幅下滑。 

2001-2011,In addition to the dramatic changes in demand,Main exporter and export region has changed much.According to the research,Asia is the largest global demand of diammonium phosphate,Followed by Latin America.Asia's main diammonium importer in India,India's demand for phosphate fertilizer,Will affect the global exports of phosphate fertilizer.IFA data suggest that,India imports of diammonium rose by almost 6 million tonnes in a decade,In 2011 reached 6.9 million tons.But in 2012,Indian dap market demand has fallen,To 6 million tonnes.The main reason it is India's domestic 2 ammonium still have a lot of inventory,Second, due to the Indian government's fertilizer subsidy policy adjustment,For other more fertilizer application,P a small decline in demand. 

  印度是农业大国,本国肥料的生产量很少,大部分要靠进口。在印度的主要磷肥进口国中,中国所占的份额由2011年的35%增长至2012年的40%,美国所占份额由30%下降到21%,沙特阿拉伯由5%上升至16%。根据以上的分析,印度肥料的进口还是就近为主,中国目前是其最大的进口国,所以印度市场的变化直接影响到中国未来的出口。 

India is the agricultural superpower,Their country's fertilizer production is very little,Most want to rely on imports.Main phosphate fertilizer importer in India,China's share of growth from 35% in 2011 to 40% in 2012,America's share fell to 21% from 30%,Saudi Arabia rose to 5% from 16%.According to the above analysis,Or near the main Indian fertilizer imports,China is now its biggest importer,So India market changes directly affect the future of China's exports. 

  美国既是一铵的进口国又是出口国。从2011年起,随着在印度的份额逐渐减少,美国逐渐转向国内市场。同时,美国也是拉丁美洲的主要出口国,磷酸一铵和磷酸二铵的出口量在近几年稳步增长。美国积极与各国生产商合作,不断开发新的生产基地。 

The us is both a importer of ammonium and exporter.Since 2011,,As in India's share is reducing gradually,The United States has turned to domestic market.At the same time,The United States is the leading exporter of Latin America,Monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate exports increased steadily in recent years.The United States actively with manufacturers all over the world,Constantly develop new production bases. 

  对于今年的国际磷肥市场,印度市场进口量目前不好确定,由于印度政府补贴政策的变化以及印度国内库存较大的影响,今年的进口量或将有所下降。另外,中国依旧是目前最大的磷肥出口国,今年的出口量较去年持平,约450万-500万吨之间。中东地区的沙特阿拉伯地区生产能力提升,未来市场广阔。(

For this year's international phosphate fertilizer market,India imports now not sure,Due to the change of the Indian government subsidies and the impact of India's domestic large inventory,Imports this year or will be dropped.In addition,China remains the biggest phosphate exporter,Exports this year than last year,Between 4.5 million - 5 million tons.Saudi Arabia in the Middle East region production capacity of ascension,In the future a vast market.(



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