欧盟对华光伏产品的反倾销立案调查会不会成为中欧贸易战的导火索？多数专家给出的答案是否定的。

Eu's pv product anti-dumping various swim-strokes would not become the fuse central trade war?Most experts given the answer is negative.

　　商务部新闻发言人沈丹阳也公开表示，“亡羊补牢，为时未晚”。中方再次敦促欧方信守承诺，在2014年前不采取任何新的贸易和投资保护主义措施，并收回任何已产生的新保护主义措施。他称，中方呼吁欧方能从中欧经贸合作的大局出发，认真考虑中方的立场和建议，通过磋商合作解决光伏产品贸易摩擦。

Commerce ministry spokesman said ShenDanYang also openly,"Better late than never,Too late to".The Chinese side again urged eu promises,In the 2014 years ago not to take any new trade and investment protectionism measures,And take any already produce new protectionist measures.He says,China calls for from eu china-eu trade and economic cooperation of the general situation,Seriously consider China's position and the suggestion,Through consultations and cooperation solve photovoltaic products trade friction.

　　中国驻欧盟商务人士告诉《每日经济新闻》记者，这只是欧盟向中国争取更多利益的一个筹码，从大环境来看，欧盟在欧债危机中有求于中国，最终该案很可能会不了了之。

Chinese ambassador to the eu business people tell[Daily economic news]reporter,This is only the European Union for more to China the interests of a chip,See from the environment,The European Union in the debt crisis of China demands,Finally the case is likely to conclude without concrete result.

　　最终结果不一定“悲观”

The final result does not necessarily"pessimistic"

　　2010年，欧盟曾发起对中国无线网卡的三重贸易救济，但最终并没有走上法庭，双方同意和解。

In 2010,,The European Union has launched on China's wireless network card triple trade relief,But in the end is not on the court,The parties agree that reconciliation.

　　上述人士表示，此次欧盟立案和最后怎么裁决还是两回事。立案的目的是希望中国在其他方面让步，比如政府采购协议、知识产权保护以及投资保护协定等。“欧盟不会有勇气真的裁决对中国产品征收惩罚性关税，毕竟这个时候他们有求于我们的更多。”

The above said people,The European Union put on record and finally how to award or different.Put on record purpose is to hope that China in other ways concessions,Such as government procurement agreement/Intellectual property protection and investment protection agreement, etc."The European Union will not have the courage to really award to impose punitive tariffs on Chinese products,After all this time they're calling our more."

　　欧盟贸易专员德古赫特一直在努力说服中国放开公共采购制度、保护知识产权，终止倾销行为和为在欧洲投资的中国投资者提供国家补贴的政策。许多外贸专家认为，此案可能是德古赫特的筹码之一。

European Union trade commissioner dracula hutt has been trying to persuade China to let go of the public purchase system/The protection of intellectual property rights,End dumping behavior and for the European investment of Chinese investors to provide state subsidies policy.Many foreign trade experts say,The case may be dracula hutt one chip.

　　但在对欧贸易领域，中方也并非没有反制措施。8月17日，江西赛维LDK光伏硅科技、洛阳中硅高科技、重庆大全新能源、江苏中能硅业联合向商务部递交申请，要求对欧盟多晶硅进口中国实行“双反”调查，商务部已经受理此案。

But in the European trade field,The Chinese side is not no counter measures.On August 17,,LDK LDK pv silicon technology/The silicon in luoyang high-tech/Chongqing big new energy/Jiangsu can silicon industry to the ministry of commerce jointly file an application,Requirements for the eu polysilicon import China implements"Double reverse"survey,The ministry of commerce has been accepted the case.

　　数据显示，上半年欧盟进入中国市场的多晶硅约9300吨，比去年同期增加了30.8%，平均价格为27.5美元/公斤，比去年同期下降了47.5%。其中，产自德国的多晶硅为9100吨，比去年同期上升59%，德国的多晶硅主要来自瓦克化学。

Data display,The European Union to enter the Chinese market in the first half of the polysilicon about 9300 tons,Than the same period last year increased by 30.8%,The average price of $27.5 / kg,Than the same period last year dropped by 47.5%.the,Produced from Germany's polysilicon for 9100 tons,Than the same period last year rose 59%,Germany's polysilicon mainly from wacker chemical.

　　尽管默克尔在中国的表态被欧委会“驳回了面子”，但上述中国驻欧人士称，默克尔在欧盟是否立案一事上本身就没有决定权，但针对具体调查结果和敲定税率却是有能力左右的。

Although ms merkel in China by the European commission said"Rejected the face",But the Chinese embassy in Europe according to people,Merkel in the eu is put on record on the itself no word,But according to the specific investigation results and finalized rate is about ability.

　　英利公司总裁特别助理陈卓告诉《每日经济新闻》记者，默克尔的态度至少说明中欧谈判之门依然打开，日后在产业合作等方面仍有很大空间，获得较低税率乃至终止调查的可能性并非没有。

The President of the company and the special assistant ChenZhuo tell[Daily economic news]reporter,Merkel attitude at least means central negotiations the door still open,Later in the industry cooperation etc still has great space,Get a low tax rate and even stop investigation is not without the possibility of.

　　贸易战是双方不可承受之重

Trade war is both the unbearable weight

　　中欧光伏争端最坏的结果无疑是大打贸易战，甚至将战火燃至其他产品，但中欧双方并不想见到这一结果。

Central European pv dispute the worst result is undoubtedly played the trade war,Even the war combustion to other products,But central both sides and don't want to see the results.

　　上述人士表示，中国光伏产品每年出口欧盟达200多亿美元，快占到出口总额的10%，如果在这个大类出现贸易大战，谁也承担不了这一后果。

The above said people,China pv products export the eu each year more than 200 dollars,Fast accounted for 10% of the total amount of export,If in the categories of a trade war,Who also bear not the consequences.

　　英利绿色能源欧洲子公司总经理汤普森表示：“太阳能产业是一个国际化和综合性的产业，贸易保护主义将给整个行业带来严重的负面影响和重大的损失。这与‘生产老百姓用得起的绿色电力’的目标背道而驰。”

Yingli green energy European subsidiary company general manager said Thompson:"The solar energy industry is an international and comprehensive industry,Trade protectionism will give the whole industry has brought serious negative influence and significant loss.this‘Production people use up green power’Target run in the opposite direction."

　　社科院世经所所长助理宋泓告诉《每日经济新闻》记者，一旦中国产品被征重税，那么欧盟整体产业链成本也会提高，对欧盟产业链其他部分的企业都会造成打击。而且贸易战是一个大范畴的概念，一旦“战火”燃起，中国完全可能取消对欧盟的援助。

ShiJingSuo academy director assistant SongHong tell[Daily economic news]reporter,Once China products are sign heavy tax,So the whole industry chain cost will also improve,The European Union industrial chain other parts of the enterprise to be able to cause the blow.And trade war is a big category concept,once"war"lit,China may cancel completely to the eu's aid.

　　即便是“鹰派”人物德古赫特也对中国市场大有期待。他曾表态称，欧盟正在寻求与中国签订投资协定，为此，欧盟已从经济、社会和环境等各方面，对与中国进行双边投资的必要性和可行性进行评估，重点考察一个平衡的中欧投资协定对欧盟可能带来的利益。

even"hawks"Character dracula hutt also to the Chinese market is looking forward to.He once said says,The eu is seeking and China signed investment agreements,therefore,The European Union has from the economic/Social and environment and so on various aspects,With China's bilateral investment necessity and feasibility of the evaluation,Focuses on a balanced central investment agreement to the eu may bring interests.

　　“这件事情最好的解决办法就是欧盟和中国能够达成和解。如果欧盟作出进一步裁决，中国肯定会有跟进，而贸易战的结果肯定是两败俱伤，使得整个行业以及世界经济复苏进程减缓。”宋泓说道。

"This thing is the best solution is to the European Union and China can reach a reconciliation.If the eu to make further award,China will certainly have to follow up,And the result of a trade war must be internecine,Make the whole industry and the world economic recovery process slow."SongHong said.