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贸易争端宜疏不宜堵--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-10-25

  近日,WTO宣布已设立了一个专家小组,调查美国中国征收进口汽车关税的投诉。美方认为中国去年12月15日对2.5升以上的美国汽车,征收反倾销和反补贴税,并未披露基本信息和对结果做充分解释等,违反国际贸易规则。 

recently,WTO announced it had set up a panel of experts,Survey the United States is China's collection of import car tariff complaints.The United States last year that China on December 15th, 2.5 litres of American cars,Anti-dumping and countervailing duties,Did not disclose the basic information and the results do fully explain, etc,Violation of international trade rules. 

  坦白说,是次WTO设立专家调查组,反映中美在为期三个月的双边磋商期内并未达成谅解。即依据WTO争端解决程序,一方提出要求后的30天内必须开始协商,如60天内未获解决,一方可申请成立专家小组。不过,中国对美国汽车征收双反税并非无的放矢。次贷危机以来,美国政府对汽车业采取了多项扶持措施,这些措施确实带有政府补贴成分。 

frankly,WTO is time set up expert investigation team,Reflected in the three months of bilateral consultation period did not come to an understanding.That is according to the WTO dispute settlement procedures,A party claim within 30 days after the must begin to negotiate,Such as 60 days not been settled,One can apply for to establish panel of experts.but,China to the United States car collection of double anti tax is not shoot at random.Since the subprime crisis,The United States government to automobile industry adopted a number of supportive measures,These measures do with government subsidies composition. 

  存在贸易争端是正常的,双方诉诸WTO仲裁分歧也是理智的。诉诸WTO而非互掐贸易战,更有利于双边信息互动,以增强双边互信,且其目的至少在策略上都是在捍卫自贸秩序。然而,最值得关注的是,美国在向WTO提起诉讼期间,继续对中国产品实行多次“双反”调查,凸显了WTO的贸易争端解决机制之成效几何值得思考。近年来,美国同多国签署了泛太平洋(5.83,0.03,0.52%)自贸协定(TPP)等FTA自贸协议,显示WTO的国际贸易含金量趋降。 

Existing trade dispute is normal,Both sides appeal to WTO arbitration differences is rational.Resort to WTO rather than mutual device trade war,More conducive to bilateral information interaction,In order to enhance bilateral mutual trust,And the purpose of at least in strategy is the defending from trade order.however,Most remarkable is,The United States in the world trade organization (WTO) during a lawsuit,Continue to implement many Chinese products"Double reverse"survey,Highlight the WTO trade dispute settlement mechanism the effectiveness of the geometry is worth thinking.In recent years,The United States and the nations signed the Pacific rim(5.83,0.03,0.52%)The fta(TPP)Since the trade agreement and FTA,Display the WTO international trade gold content to drop. 

  近年来,美国不断发力FTA,要比中美在WTO框架下的贸易纠纷之风险更为突出。即一旦以美国为主的FTA体系得以系统且完善,将可能改变目前中美乃至全球贸易格局。其一,FTA式自贸协议具有明显的强约束性,这反映在FTA的自贸条款对当事双方具有强威慑力,如双方一旦签订FTA,都需严格执行协议条款,一方的背信很容易遭到FTA体系内其他贸易伙伴的反制。其二,FTA是闭环型自贸秩序,非成员国无法享受FTA的自贸优惠。因而若FTA自贸区的辐射力和影响力足够强,那么FTA成员国将为降低贸易成本,提高贸易便利性,而首选自贸区内贸易,国际产业分工等也愈发在区内布局,非成员国与FTA成员国的贸易将无形中被逐渐边缘化。如若TPP愈发成熟而中国未适时参与其中,那么今后中美间的部分贸易或将被TPP内的成员国贸易所替代。是为中国与东盟自贸区的成功引发美国跟进,而美国在亚太强推TPP引发中国关注之重要原因。 

In recent years,The United States has been hair force FTA,China and the United States than in under the framework of WTO trade dispute the risk is more outstanding.Namely once in the United States, primarily FTA system to system and perfect,May change the present and even the global trade pattern between China and the United States.one,FTA type since the trade agreement has the obvious strong binding force,This is reflected in the FTA since the trade terms for both parties have strong deterrent force,If both sides once signing FTA,Must strictly implement the agreement,A party's breach of faith is very vulnerable to FTA system inside other trading partners of the counter.The second,FTA is closed loop type from trade order,The member can enjoy the FTA since the trade discount.So if the FTA free trade of radial force and influence strong enough,So FTA members will be to reduce trade cost,Improve trade convenience,And the first choice in the free trade,The international industrial division of labor and so on also increasingly in the layout,Non member countries and FTA members of the trade would virtually are gradually marginalized.If TPP increasingly mature and China does not timely involved,So in the future between China and the United States part of the trade or will be within the TPP member trade has been replaced.For China and asean free trade by the success of the United States to follow up,And the United States in the asia-pacific strong push TPP cause China focus on the important reasons. 

  奥巴马在刚刚结束的第三轮总统辩论中提出,美国将可能向中国发起更多违反贸易规则的案件。这并非危言耸听,随着美国主导的自贸区愈发系统和成熟,美国将逐渐把自贸重心转向FTA成员国,从而使美国有实力在WTO内发起更多贸易摩擦。对此,中国当应未雨绸缪。中美在WTO框架下的贸易摩擦和贸易纠纷宜疏不宜堵,双方需以扎实的数据和信息据理力争,赢取对方尊重。同时,当前中国应该积极地参与FTA谈判,掌握主动。

Obama just finished in the third round of the presidential debate put forward,The United States will likely to China has launched more cases in violation of trade rules.This is not alarmism,With the leading of free trade system and more mature,The United States will gradually since the trade center of gravity to FTA members,So that the United States has strength in the WTO was initiated in more trade friction.this,China when should save for a rainy day.China and the United States on under the framework of WTO trade friction and trade dispute should drain shoulds not be blocked,Both sides need to solid data and information fight it out,Win respect each other.At the same time,The current China should actively participate in FTA negotiations,Have the initiative.



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