TPP（“跨太平洋战略经济伙伴协定”）热度还未完全消退，RCEP（“区域全面经济伙伴关系协议”）的概念就已跃然纸上，加上刚宣布启动的中日韩FTA（自由贸易协定）谈判，一时让亚洲地区的贸易格局“热闹非凡”。

TPP("Cross the Pacific strategic economic partner agreement")Heat are not completely resolve,RCEP("Regional comprehensive economic partnership agreement")The concept is already full of life,Add just announced the start of the republic of Korea FTA(Free trade agreement)negotiations,At that time let Asia trade pattern"jollification".

　　无论是美国，还是中日韩三国，都试图通过各种双边或者多边贸易协定，来谋划有利于自己的亚洲贸易格局，进而出现了中日韩FTA、TPP以及RCEP这三种多边贸易协定。

Whether the United States,Or China, South Korea and Japan,Trying to through all sorts of bilateral or multilateral trade agreement,To plan for their own Asian trade pattern,Then appeared the China, Japan and South Korea FTA/RCEP TPP and the three kinds of multilateral trade agreement.

　　有声音认为，中国试图通过RCEP来制衡美国主导的TPP，以谋求在亚太地区的贸易优势。而奥巴马政府意在制衡中日韩FTA这一企图“绕过美国”取得进展的经济合作。

A voice that,China is trying to through the RCEP to counter-balance us leading TPP,For in Asia Pacific trade advantage.But Obama government aims to balance the China, Japan and South Korea FTA this attempt to"Around the United States"Progress of economic cooperation.

　　中国模式还是美国模式？

The China model or the United States mode?

　　TPP协议最早始于2003年，参与方有新西兰、新加坡和智利，2005年，文莱与上述三个国家正式发起TPP谈判，但直到2009年美国宣布加入谈判才开始被人关注。目前参与TPP谈判的国家共有11个，除了上述五国，后续还有马来西亚、秘鲁、越南、澳大利亚、加拿大、墨西哥等6个国家加入谈判。

The earliest TPP agreement began in 2003,Party a New Zealand/Singapore and Chile,In 2005,,Brunei and the above three countries officially launched TPP negotiations,But until 2009 the United States announced to join negotiations began to be attention.At present the country to participate in TPP negotiations eleven,In addition to the above five countries,Follow-up and Malaysia/Peru/Vietnam/Australia/Canada/Mexico six countries join negotiations.

　　美国贸易代表办公室官方网站显示，TPP谈判已经举行了14轮，第15轮定于2012年12月初在新西兰举行。第14轮谈判主要讨论了技术性贸易壁垒、知识产权、跨境服务贸易和环境保护等。

The U.S. trade representative office official website display,TPP negotiations have held a 14 wheel,The 15th wheel is scheduled for December 2012 held in New Zealand.14 rounds of talks mainly discusses the technical barriers to trade/Intellectual property rights/Cross-border trade in services and environmental protection.

　　TPP门槛颇高，其准入标准不同于一般性的自贸协定，除了低关税促进服务贸易，在劳工权益、环境保护以及法律标准方面都要求成员国一视同仁。美国还对国有企业提出了要求，防止其私营企业在与国企的竞争中处于不利地位。

TPP quite high threshold,Its access standard is different from general the fta,In addition to lower tariffs promoting service trade,In the labor rights/Environmental protection and legal standards require members equally.The United States also of state-owned enterprise puts forward requirements,To prevent the private enterprises in the state-owned enterprises and competition at a disadvantage.

　　相比之下，由东盟主导的RCEP仍处于构想阶段，外界普遍预计，由于涵盖的国家数量更多，缺乏一个真正强势的主导力量，RCEP门槛可能较TPP低。一般认为，RCEP会包括东盟10国，以及中国、日本、韩国、印度、澳大利亚和新西兰。

Compared with,The leading RCEP by asean is still in the stage of conception,Is widely expected to,Because of the number of countries which covers more,The lack of a real strong leading power,RCEP threshold may be a TPP low.General think,RCEP will include 10 asean countries,And China/Japan/South Korea/India/Australia and New Zealand.

　　长期关注亚太贸易的新加坡淡马锡基金会贸易与谈判中心主任德博拉·亨姆告诉早报记者，担忧最终RCEP会偏离最初的方向，“因为是一个个国家加入，而非16个国家一同谈判。”

Long-term focus on asia-pacific trade Singapore temasek foundation trade and negotiations, director of the center for Deborah · holmes told morning paper reporter,Finally RCEP concerns will deviate from the original direction,"Because it is a country to join,Rather than 16 countries negotiate together."

　　有评论认为，TPP是美国设计的贸易框架，以最大程度上满足其在知识产品、竞争法律以及政府采购方面的企业利益，而中国则试图避开上述领域，专心通过自贸协定提高外贸总量。

Critics think,TPP is the design of the trade framework,To the largest extent meet its in the knowledge products/Competition law and government procurement aspects of the enterprise benefit,While China has tried to avoid the above areas,Through the fta to improve total foreign trade.

　　一旦RCEP最终形成，将成为全球最大的自由贸易区，覆盖30亿人口，16个国家的GDP总额将达到17万亿美元。据美国贸易代表办公室的估计，亚太地区GDP总和占到全球的60%，涉及的国际贸易量占到全球的50%。

Once RCEP finally formed,Will become the world's largest free trade zone,Covering 3 billion population,16 countries total GDP will reach 17 trillion dollars.According to the American trade representative office estimates,The asia-pacific region GDP accounted for 60% of the global total,Involved in the international trade accounted for 50% of the world's.

　　眼下，加入区域性的多边贸易协定已是大势所趋，对于亚洲国家来说，无非有两条路可以选择——RCEP或者TPP，前者的要求将更容易被亚洲国家所接受。布鲁金斯学会高级研究员索利斯告诉《华尔街日报》，“一项比详细的TPP更宽泛的贸易协议可能更容易谈判成功。”

the,Join regional multilateral trade agreement is the trend of The Times,For Asian nations,,But there are two ways can choose - RCEP or TPP,The former requirements will be more easily accepted by Asian countries.Brookings institution senior researcher solis tell[The Wall Street journal],"A than detailed TPP more broad trade agreement may be more prone to negotiations success."

　　更直接地说，选择RCEP或者TPP，更像是选择中国模式还是美国模式，当然也可以像澳大利亚、日本和新加坡等国一样，两边都“下注”。

More directly said,Choose RCEP or TPP,More like choose the mode or the United States mode,Of course also may like Australia/Japan and Singapore and other countries the same,On both sides of the"bet".

　　如果RCEP和TPP正式建立起来，各自的经济规模都将与欧盟相似。

If RCEP and TPP formally established,Their respective economic scale will be similar with the European Union.

　　中日韩角力FTA

The republic of Korea FTA wrestling

　　如果说东南亚国家还在犹豫选择哪个协定更有利的话，对于东亚的中日韩三国来说，推进中日韩FTA是首要任务。中日韩三国互相之间一直没能达成双边自贸协定。中日韩FTA一旦达成，将会形成约占全球GDP与实物贸易（按金额计算）两成的巨大贸易圈。

If the southeast Asian countries still hesitate to choose which agreement if more advantageous,To east Asia in for South Korea and Japan,Promote the China, Japan and South Korea FTA is the primary task.China, South Korea and Japan between each other has failed to reach a bilateral trade agreement since.The republic of Korea FTA once reached,Will form occupy global GDP and physical trade(According to the amount)Twenty percent of the huge trade circle.

　　但试图通过中日韩FTA来弥补三国相互之间至今未达成双边自贸协定的缺憾，孰为不易。

But trying to the republic of Korea FTA to make up for The Three Kingdoms between each other has not reached since bilateral trade agreement be short of regret,Which is not easy for.

　　抛开中日韩三国对各自国内产业的保护考量，中日、韩日间的领土纠纷将成为FTA谈判的一个绊脚石。不过，有分析称，没人指望中日韩FTA谈判能成为灵丹妙药，但它确实反映了三国至少要防止领土争端进一步波及经济关系的意愿。

In South Korea and Japan put aside for their respective domestic industry protection considerations,sino-japanese/Korea's day territorial disputes will become FTA negotiations a stumbling block.but,Have analysis says,Nobody expected the China, Japan and South Korea FTA negotiations can be a panacea,But it does reflect The Three Kingdoms at least to prevent territorial disputes further spread to the will of the economic relationship.

　　此外，由于RCEP的存在，中日韩三国的分歧或将在RCEP这类宽泛的框架中得以缩小。未来出现的一种情况可能是，RCEP早于中日韩FTA谈成，进而促成三国FTA。

In addition,Due to the existence of RCEP,China, South Korea and Japan differences or will be in RCEP this kind of broad framework can be reduced.The emergence of a kind of condition is probably,RCEP early in the China, Japan and South Korea FTA to talk about,And then The Three Kingdoms to FTA.

　　有日本学者坦言，目前最“热心”推动中日韩FTA的是日本，尤其是在中韩FTA已经开谈的情况下。韩国媒体称，韩国已经成功同欧盟和美国分别签署了FTA，因此在中日韩FTA中掌握了主动权，也有充分的时间分析中韩FTA和中日韩FTA，并建议暂时搁置中日韩FTA，将先启动的中韩FTA作为杠杆。

A Japanese scholars said,At present the most"enthusiastic"Promote the China, Japan and South Korea FTA is Japan,Especially in China and South Korea FTA has open talk about cases.South Korean media said,South Korea has successfully with the European Union and the United States signed the FTA respectively,So in the China, Japan and South Korea FTA in mastery of the initiative,There is also good time analysis of China and South Korea FTA and the republic of Korea FTA,And Suggestions on the back burner temporarily the China, Japan and South Korea FTA,Will first start to China and South Korea FTA as a lever.