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2012/13 年世界棉花贸易将下滑--亲民维稳网络舆情监测室
2012-12-20

  世界2012/13年进口预计3770万包,较上年减少16%。世界进口预期下降的主要原因是中国进口预期下降,2012/13年中国进口预期减少53%,至1150万包。中国目前的国家储备政策导致中国降低了对外棉的需求。孟加拉国和印尼预计分别在2013/13年进口370万包和230万包,分别上年提高16%。巴基斯坦和土耳其预计在2012/13年进口240万包和350万包,分别较上年提高140%和47%。

2012/13 of the world is expected to import 37.7 million bales,Is reduced by 16% last year.World imports is expected to decline is the main reason of the China import is expected to decline,2012/13 Chinese import expected reduced by 53%,To 11.5 million bales.China's current national reserve policy in China to reduce the foreign cotton demand.Bangladesh and Indonesia is expected to import respectively in 2013/13 3.7 million bales and 2.3 million bales,Respectively jumped 16% from a year earlier.Pakistan and Turkey is expected to import 2012/13 2.4 million bales and 3.5 million bales,A year respectively increased by 140% and 47%.

  南半球的主要出口国家澳大利亚和巴西出口预计分别为420万包,分别较上年减少10%和12%。非洲法郎地区预计在2012/13年出口330万包,较上年提高40%。印度预计在2012/13年出口400万包,较上年减少64%,如此,巴西和澳大利亚加在一起成为世界第二大棉花供应国家。世界最大的棉花出口国家美国预计在2012/13年出口1180万包,略高于上年。

The southern hemisphere mainly exports the country Australia and Brazil exports is expected to 4.2 million bales, respectively,A year were reduced by 10% and 12%.African franc area is expected to export 2012/13 3.3 million bales,Jumped 40% from a year earlier.India is expected to export 2012/13 4 million bales,Is reduced by 64% last year,so,Brazil and Australia together become the world's second largest cotton supply state.The world's largest cotton exporting countries in the United States is expected to export 2012/13 11.8 million bales,Slightly higher than last year.



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