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日本出口形势吃紧 澳元再临考验--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-01-24

  周四亚市早盘,澳元兑美元震荡下行,现交投于1.0520一线。稍后北京时间9:45中国将公布1月汇丰制造业PMI预览值。PMI数据向来具有一定前瞻性,而作为年内首度数据,其表现更加市场关注,澳元料将再临考验。

On Thursday the earlier in the session,The dollar down a concussion,Now trading at 1.0520 a line.Later on Beijing time China will be perceived by January HSBC manufacturing PMI preview value.PMI data have certain forward-looking,As a first year data,Their performance more market focus,A material will be the test.

  目前中国经济自去年四季度以来呈现了明显的企稳势头,今日将公布的1月汇丰制造业PMI预览值仍有望表现较好,该数据前值为51.5。若最终数据进一步上升,将有望提振澳元走高,反之则将打压澳元。

China's economy since the fourth quarter of last year since presents obvious stabilises momentum,This day will be published on January HSBC manufacturing PMI preview value are still expected to do well,Before the data value is 51.5.If the final data rise further,Is expected to boost dollars go high,Otherwise, it will crack down on Australian dollars.

  澳元本周走势起起伏伏,这主要受到了市场对澳洲联储下月可能降息的预期影响。不过若中国数据持续表现优异,将有望令这种预期有所降温。

This week a trend of ups and downs,This is mainly by the market for Australia the fed cut interest rates next month may be expected effect.But if China data for excellent performance,Is expected to make the expected has cooled.

  周四亚市早盘,日本公布12月季调后商品贸易帐数据,结果录得逆差6415亿日元,逆差规模再度超过预期。而在分项数据方面,日本出口形势依然吃紧,商品出口年率下降5.8%,其中对中国出口年率下降15.8%。数据公布后美元兑日元先涨后跌,现交投于88.55附近。

On Thursday the earlier in the session,Japan announced 12 Chinese rose after the adjustment merchandise trade account data,Results record deficit 641.5 billion yen,Deficit scale again than expected.And in the kinds of data,The Japanese export situation is still tight,Merchandise exports fell 5.8% annual rate,The annual rate of China's exports fell 15.8%.After the publication of data against the yen, the dollar rose after the first down,Now trading at 88.55 nearby.

  具体数据显示,日本12月季调后商品贸易帐逆差6415亿日元,预期逆差5,340亿日元,前值逆差9,534亿日元。日本12月商品出口年率下降5.8%,预期下降4.2%,前值下降4.1%。商品进口年率上升1.9%,预期上升1.5%,前值上升0.8%。

Specific data display,Japanese and Chinese rose after the adjustment merchandise trade account deficit 641.5 billion yen,Expected deficit 5,34 billion yen,Former value deficit and,53.4 billion yen.Japan December merchandise exports fell 5.8% annual rate,Is expected to decline 4.2%,Former value fell by 4.1%.Merchandise imports up 1.9% annual rate,Is expected to rise 1.5%,Former value increased by 0.8%.

  日本2012年贸易逆差6.9273万亿日元。日本2012年为继续第二年出现年度贸易逆差,且规模创纪录。

Japan 2012 trade deficit 6.9273 trillion yen.Japan in 2012 to the second year in the annual trade deficit,Record and the scale.

  尽管日元从首相安倍晋三上台之后便持续贬值,但从12月日本的出口情况来看,依然不容乐观。这或在后市继续坚定日本政府宽松的步伐,值得投资者警惕。

Although the yen from prime minister shinzo Abe after he came into power and the continuing decline,But from December Japanese export situation,Is still not optimistic.This or in the market outlook continues to firm the Japanese government relaxed pace,Worth investors alert.

  英国的三大事件已在周三尘埃落定,同时加拿大的央行决议和美国债务上限提高决议也已有了结果,因而,周四的市场关注焦点似乎回到了亚洲。当天韩国的GDP、日本的贸易账以及中国的汇丰PMI预览值数据,都料将是各界关注的重点。

Britain's three big event has set up a file in the dust settled on Wednesday,At the same time the central bank of Canada and the United States debt ceiling resolution to improve resolution has the results,so,Thursday's market focus seems to be back to Asia.The South Korea's GDP/Japan's trade accounts and Chinese HSBC PMI preview value data,All materials will be the focus of attention from all walks of life.

  美元兑日元:

Against the yen, the dollar:

  关注日本贸易账以及短观非制造业景气判断指数数据。虽然此前日本政府已经在月度经济报告中上调了经济前景预期,但经济能否真的好转仍要取决于此后的数据状况。若数据显示经济确有回暖,日元持续贬值趋势或遭逆转。

Pay attention to the Japanese trade accounts and short view non-manufacturing 'judgment index data.Although after the Japanese government has in the monthly economic report raised economic outlook is expected,But the economy can really improve still depends on the next data condition.If the data showed that the economy has warmed,The yen was the continuing decline trend or reversal.

  澳元兑美元:

Dollar $:

  关注中国汇丰PMI预览值数据,若中国经济回暖状况能通个这一数据得到进一步证实,对于澳元而言也将是利好。

Focus on China HSBC PMI preview value data,If China's economy milder conditions can pass a the data further confirmed,As for Australian dollars will be good.

  欧元兑美元:

Euro against the dollar:

  关注法德两国的制造业PMI数据,同时还须关注西班牙失业率能否能从25%的高位回落。在IMF发布报告看空全球经济前景的状况下,欧元区当天的这一系列数据将向市场提供更多的判断依据。

Pay attention to the two countries France and Germany manufacturing PMI data,At the same time, must pay attention to the Spanish unemployment rate from 25% whether can highs.In the IMF report see empty the global economic outlook situations,The euro zone on this a series of data will be to the market to provide more judgement basis.

  新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。

Sina statement:Sina published this article for the purpose of information,Does not mean that agree with his point of view or confirm its description.The contents of the article is only for reference,Does not constitute investment advice.Investors according to operation,Risks oneself.



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