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日元贬值 我国出口压力剧增--亲稳网络舆情监控室
2013-02-19
发达国家货币的竞相贬值,对以出口为主要拉动力的新兴市场国家影响不言而喻。一些发展中国家担心上世纪30年代“以邻为壑”的贸易战又将重演,此外,还有不少经济学家担忧,包括中国在内的新兴国家将饱受流动性泛滥冲击之苦。
The developed countries of the currency to depreciate,To export as the main of pulling power emerging market countries influence is self-evident.Some developing countries worry in the 1930 s"Do harm to a neighbour"Trade and will repeat itself,In addition,Many economists worry,The emerging countries, including China, will be suffered from liquidity flood impact of bitterness.
鲁政委在昨日接受早报记者采访时,强调了日元贬值对中国出口带来的巨大压力。
Lu zhengwei yesterday morning to accept an interview with reporters,The weak yen emphasized on China's export brings great pressure.
“日元的弱势使得韩元不甘维持一个强势,在韩国看来,日本的产品与其竞争最为激烈,韩国也必将希望维持本国货币弱势。因此,中国低端的制造业、劳动密集型产业想要升级为所谓高端制造业,将持续受到日韩‘盖帽’,中国未来产业升级难度骤增,由此加大了落入‘中等收入陷阱’也将风险加大。”鲁政委昨日如是分析。
"The yen weakness makes won unwilling to maintain a strong,In South Korea seems,Japan's products with most competitive,South Korea will hope to maintain national currency weakness.so,China's low-end manufacturing/Labor-intensive industries to upgrade to the so-called high-end manufacturing,By Japan and South Korea will continue‘blocks’,China's future industrial upgrading increased difficulty,This increased fall into‘Middle-income trap’Will also increase the risk."Lu zhengwei yesterday so analysis.
“无论从短期、中期还是长期,日元维持弱势,对中国来说都是一个灾难。中国对日出口主要来自于与日本产业内贸易,而在中日争端后日本企业开始向东南亚转移,中国出口难以从中获得好处。”鲁政委昨日对记者表示。
"No matter from short-term/Mid-term or long-term,Yen to maintain the weak,For the Chinese is a disaster.China's export, mainly comes from the intra-industry trade with Japan,And in the dispute after Japan enterprise began to southeast Asia transfer,China's export to gain benefits."Lu zhengwei told reporters yesterday.
“日元贬值所带来的外溢效应表现在以下三个方面:一是会给其他国家造成升值压力,甚至引发汇率战、贸易摩擦升级;二是加剧全球短期资本流动的规模和波动性;三是导致全球能源与大宗商品价格高位震荡,从而给包括中国在内的国家带来输入性通胀压力。”中国社科院世经所国际投资室副主任张明昨日在接受新华社记者采访时则如是提醒。
"The weak yen brought about by the spillover effect shown in the following three aspects:It is to be able to give other countries cause upward pressure,Even cause rate war/Trade friction upgrade;The second is fueling global short-term capital flow scale and volatility;The third is causing global energy and commodity prices high shock,To the country, including China, bring input sex inflationary pressure."The Chinese academy of international investment ShiJingSuo zhang Ming, deputy director of the office yesterday in an interview with xinhua news agency reporter is so remind.
对此,鲁政委同也表示,日本的量化宽松将加剧资本流入中国,并将呈现出流入增加、再流出、再加速流入的局面。
this,Lu zhengwei with also said,Japan's quantitative easing will heighten capital into China,And will show the inflow increase/Then out/To speed up into the situation.
“日元的弱势,意味着美元、欧元和韩元等也不愿维持强势,在中国经济进入复苏的背景下,中国对国家资本是具有吸引力的;但日元的弱势带来中国出口以及更长期的问题,在人民币不愿意升值的背景下,国际资本在没有什么可以做的情况下又会流出。而对其他新兴经济体来说,可以更多地抓住贬值的机会发展出口,从而导致国际资本再度流入。”鲁政委昨日表示。
"Yen weakness,Mean dollars/The euro and the Korean also don't want to maintain a strong,In China's economic recovery in the background,China's national capital is attractive;But the yen weakness to bring China export and more long-term problems,In the RMB is not willing to appreciate the background,International capital in nothing can do cases and outflow.For other for emerging economies,Can hold more depreciation of the opportunities to develop export,Leading to the international capital inflows again."Lu zhengwei said yesterday.
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