《关于2012年国民经济和社会发展计划执行情况与2013年国民经济和社会发展计划草案的报告》中为今年的外贸增长定调，外贸进出口总额力争增长8%左右。这一指标比去年预期目标低2个百分点左右，表明中国外贸增长正从追求速度转向关注质量和效益。

[About 2012 implementation of the plan for national economic and social development and the 2013 plan for national economic and social development of the draft report]Set the tone for this year's foreign trade growth,Foreign trade imports and exports increased to 8%.This metric is expected target about 2% less than last year,Shows that China's foreign trade growth is to focus on quality and efficiency from the pursuit of speed.

　　今年1月中国外贸迎来“开门红”，进出口总值同比增长26.7%，其中出口增长25%。但商务部分析，2013年我国外贸形势依然严峻，主要表现在外部环境上。近期美国经济有所复苏，欧债危机有所缓和，但失业率仍然高企，财政风险也不断积累;全球货币宽松竞赛也存在巨大风险，可能推高大宗商品价格，使得热钱流向新兴经济体;国际贸易投资保护主义强化，高端产业尤其突出。

In January this year, China's foreign trade in"Good start",Total cost of the import and export growth of 26.7% year-on-year,Export growth of 25%.But the ministry of commerce analysis,In 2013 China's foreign trade situation is still grim,Mainly on the external environment.The recent U.S. economic recovery,The European debt crisis eased,But unemployment is still high,Fiscal risk is accumulating;Global monetary easing competition also there is a huge risk,Could push up commodity prices,Make hot money flows to emerging economies;Strengthen the international trade and investment protectionism,High-end industry is particularly prominent.

　　中国社科院经济研究所高级研究员徐逢贤分析，欧盟和美国是我国外贸的主要国家，由于上述国家在2012年都面临着经济增长困难的情况，我国2012年的外贸出现了较为明显的下滑。去年我国外贸进出口总额实际增速为6.2%，低于10%的预期。但发展中国家的比重正在进一步扩大，而且美国经济的复苏也使得今年的外贸环境有所好转。

Senior research fellow at the institute of economics, Chinese academy of social sciences Xu Fengxian analysis,The European Union and the United States is China's major countries of foreign trade,Because these countries are faced with difficult economic growth in 2012,China's foreign trade in 2012 appeared more obvious decline.China's total foreign trade import and export growth of 6.2% in real terms last year,Less than 10% of expected.But the proportion of developing countries is widening,And the U.S. economic recovery has also made this year's foreign trade environment is improved.

　　北京市社科院副院长赵弘认为，我国外贸进出口以引进技术、生产加工再出口为主，在成本越来越高的情况下，出口的竞争能力不断下降，就出现了向越南等周边国家转移的趋势。外贸进出口速度慢下来也并非坏事，赵弘表示，企业压力增大后就会加快调整，从低附加值、低技术的出口型向高新技术类型转变。

Think Zhao Hong, vice President of the Beijing academy of social sciences,Our country foreign trade import and export to the imported technology/Production processing and re-export,In the case of cost is higher and higher,Falling export competition ability,Came to Vietnam and other neighboring countries the trend of the transfer.Import and export of foreign trade speed slow down is not a bad thing, too,Zhao Hong said,Enterprise will speed up the adjustment after pressure,From low value-added/Low technology to high-tech export-oriented type transformation.

　　外贸是拉动中国经济增长的重要引擎。受外需疲弱影响，2012年全年我国外贸增速为6.2%，较上年回落16.3个百分点，远低于年初定下的全年外贸增长10%的目标。

Foreign trade is one of the important engine drive China's economic growth.Affected by external demand weak,2012 year our country foreign trade growth of 6.2%,Down 16.3% on the previous year,Is far lower than the set at the beginning of the year's target of 10% of China's foreign trade growth.

　　中国物流与采购联合会最新发布的制造业PMI数据显示，新出口订单指数已连续三个月回落，2月为47.3%，连续两个月位于临界点以下，显示外部需求仍具有较大不确定性。

The China federation of logistics and purchasing the latest manufacturing PMI data showed,New export orders index has dropped for three consecutive months,In February of 47.3%,Below the critical point for two months in a row,According to external demand is still has a large uncertainty.