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2013年国内进口气价倒挂或缓解--亲稳舆论引导监测室
2013-01-31
中石油集团经济技术研究院1月30日发布的《2012年国内外油气行业发展报告》预计,2013年我国天然气表观消费量将达到1650亿立方米,同比增长11.9%,占一次能源的比重将从2012年的5.4%上升为5.8%,但对外依存度也将由2012年的29%上升至32%。同时,随着天然气价改在全国各地逐步推进,进口天然气价格倒挂现象有望缓解。
Petrochina group economic and technical institute released on January 30[In 2012, oil and gas industry development report at home and abroad]Is expected to,In 2013 China's natural gas apparent consumption will reach 165 billion cubic meters,Year-on-year growth of 11.9%,Accounted for the proportion of primary energy will be up from 5.4% in 2012 to 5.8%,But foreign dependence will also from 2012 years of 29% to 32%.At the same time,With gas JiaGai gradually in all parts of the country,Imported natural gas prices fuchsia phenomenon is expected to ease.
业内人士认为,未来十年内,我国天然气消费量将不断提升,应用领域也会逐渐扩大,天然气产业链上相关企业将长期分享这场“气的盛宴”。其中,天然气生产企业、相关设备制造企业、下游管输企业以及城市燃气公司将优先获得利好。
The personage inside course of study thinks,The next ten years,China's natural gas consumption will continue to improve,Applications will gradually expand,The natural gas industry chain related enterprise will share the long-term"Gas feast".the,Natural gas producing enterprise/Related equipment manufacturing enterprises/The downstream pipeline enterprise and city gas company will give priority to get good.
消费量激增11.9%
Consumption surged 11.9%
数据显示,2012年,我国天然气表观消费量达到1475亿立方米,同比增长12.9%;用气人口超过2亿,城镇气化率达到29%;城市燃气、发电用气提升,工业用气、化工用气下降。
Data display,In 2012,,China's natural gas apparent consumption reached 147.5 billion cubic meters,Year-on-year growth of 12.9%;Gas has a population of more than 200 million,Town vaporization rate reached 29%;City gas/Generating gas ascending,Industrial gas/Chemical gas down.
2013年,我国天然气表观消费量将进一步提升,同比增长将达11.9%。其中,城市燃气消费量将继续领涨,取暖用气、交通用气、分布式能源用气增加,发电和工艺用气稳定增加,化工用气规模则将继续萎缩。
In 2013,,China's natural gas apparent consumption will improve,Year-on-year growth of 11.9%.the,City gas consumption will continue to bring up,Heating gas/Traffic gas/Distributed energy gas increases,Power generation and process gas stable increase,Chemical gas scale will continue to shrink.
消费量不断增长,将促使天然气进口量和国内勘探开发量在2013年进一步提升。报告认为,2013年,国内常规气、煤层气产量均将稳定增长,达到1150亿立方米,同比增长6.8%。煤制天然气将成为新的供气来源,供应量有望达到19亿立方米。
Consumption growth,Will cause gas imports and domestic exploration back hurriedly in 2013 further ascension.The report says,In 2013,,Domestic conventional gas/Coalbed methane (CBM) output will be steady growth,Up to 115 billion cubic meters,Year-on-year growth of 6.8%.Coal system natural gas will become the new air supply source,Supply is expected to reach 1.9 billion cubic meters.
进口气方面,报告预计,2013年我国天然气进口总量将达到530亿立方米,同比增长23.8%。其中,LNG进口量同比增14.6%,达到1650万吨;管道气进口量同比增31.6%,达到300亿立方米。
Imported gas in,The report is expected to,In 2013 China's natural gas import will reach 53 billion cubic meters,Year-on-year growth of 23.8%.the,LNG imports increased by 14.6% year-on-year,Up to 16.5 million tons;Pipeline gas imports increased by 31.6% year-on-year,Up to 30 billion cubic meters.
业内人士认为,未来十年内,我国天然气消费量将不断提升,应用领域也将逐渐扩大。在此背景下,天然气产业链上的生产企业、相关设备制造企业、下游管输企业以及城市燃气公司等长期获益。
The personage inside course of study thinks,The next ten years,China's natural gas consumption will continue to improve,Applications will gradually expand.In this context,Natural gas industrial chain, the production enterprise/Related equipment manufacturing enterprises/The downstream pipeline enterprise and city gas company long-term benefit.
价格倒挂有望缓解
The price is expected to ease down
天然气进口量的不断增加,使进口气价格倒挂成为牵制几大油企业绩的一块心病。2012年,我国进口管道气和LNG的价格同比大幅上涨,进口气价和销售价倒挂现象继续存在。
Natural gas imports increased,Make import gas price fuchsia become contain some lard enterprise performance of a piece of heart.In 2012,,Our country is imported pipeline gas and LNG price year-on-year rise considerably,Imported gas price and sale price fuchsia phenomenon continue to exist.
报告显示,2012年前11月,我国管道气进口到岸均价为2.46元/立方米(完税价格为2.78元/立方米),同比上涨21.2%;进口LNG到岸均价为2.55元/立方米(完税价格为2.88元/立方米),同比上涨23.8%。
The report shows that,November 2012 years ago,Our country pipeline gas import cif average price is 2.46 yuan/cubic meter(The customs value is 2.78 yuan/cubic meter),Rose 21.2% year-on-year;Imported LNG cif average price is 2.55 yuan/cubic meter(The customs value is 2.88 yuan/cubic meter),Rose 23.8% year-on-year.
不过,这一现象有望在2013年得到缓解。“2013年中亚管道气价格将随油价小幅波动,LNG进口价格与2012年持平。随着价格改革在全国各地逐步推进,进口天然气价格倒挂现象有望缓解。”中石油集团经济技术研究院副院长钱兴坤称。
but,This phenomenon is expected to ease in 2013."2013 central Asia pipeline gas prices will with oil prices small-scope fluctuation,LNG import prices and the same as in 2012.Along with the price reform gradually in all parts of the country,Imported natural gas prices fuchsia phenomenon is expected to ease."Petrochina group vice President of the institute of economic and technical QianXingKun says.
受进口中亚天然气及LNG亏损增大影响,2012年前三季度,中石油的天然气与管道板块仅实现经营利润8.85亿元,比上年同期大幅减少123.48亿元。业内人士认为,若今年价格倒挂现象缓解,中石油天然气板块的业绩将大为提振。
Subject to import central Asian gas and LNG losses increase impact,The third quarter of 2012 years ago,Petrochina's natural gas and pipe plate only realize operation profit is 885 million yuan,Than the same period last year sharply reduce the number of 12.348 billion yuan.The personage inside course of study thinks,If this year prices fuchsia phenomenon ease,The performance of the oil and gas sector will greatly boost.
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