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制定完整的贸易开放战略--亲稳网络舆情监测室
2013-03-04
美国在亚太地区推进“跨太平洋伙伴关系协议”(TPP)谈判的同时,又开始拥抱大西洋彼岸的欧盟。
The United States in the asia-pacific region to promote"The trans-pacific partnership agreement"(The TPP)The talks at the same time,The eu began to embrace the other side of the Atlantic.
2月份,美欧发表联合声明,宣布双方将在6月底前正式展开“跨大西洋贸易与投资伙伴协议”(TTIP)谈判,从而最终建立美欧自由贸易区。根据时间表,美欧自贸区谈判将在两年内完成。
In February,The us and Europe in a joint statement,Announced that the two sides will officially launch before the end of June"The transatlantic trade and investment partner agreement"(TTIP)negotiations,To establish a free trade area in the us and Europe.According to the schedule,Free trade area negotiations will be completed in two years in the us and Europe.
两大经济体意欲启动FTA(自由贸易协定),将令中国贸易战略的两难困境更加凸显。
Two large economies wants to start the FTA(The free trade agreement),Will make dilemma highlights of China's trade strategy.
一方面,以多哈贸易谈判停滞为标志的多边贸易遭到弱化。加入WTO(世界贸易组织)是中国融入国际贸易规则体系的重要跳板,多年来,中国被美欧等发达国家视为全球贸易体系的最大受益者。多边贸易体系的弱化,必然将使全球化给中国带来的增长红利受到遏制。
On the one hand,With the symbol of the doha round of trade negotiations stalled multilateral trade was weakening.Accession to the WTO(The world trade organization)Is an important springboard for China's integration into the international trade rules system,Over the years,China is in the us and Europe and other developed countries as the biggest beneficiaries of the global trading system.The weakening of the multilateral trading system,Will inevitably make globalization bring to China's growth in dividends is contained.
另一方面,FTA的发展势头在全球不断强化,而中国并没有在自贸区的发展战略上获得有力突破。美欧等自贸区形成后,关税、管治等贸易壁垒将减少或取消,双边贸易和投资更加顺畅。面对他国较强的区域合作力度甚至是共同市场,中国产品的竞争优势将更被削弱,资本走出去也将面临更多的不利因素。
On the other hand,FTA development momentum in the world constantly strengthen,And China did not gain a strong breakthrough in the development strategy of free trade area.Free trade zone formed after the us and Europe, etc,tariffs/Governance will reduce or eliminate trade barriers,Bilateral trade and investment more smoothly.Facing the foreign strong regional cooperation efforts even the common market,The competitive advantage of Chinese products will be more weakened,Capital to go out will also face more adverse factors.
实际上,中国已经看到了双边或区域自贸合作的趋势,与多个国家签订自贸协定,或正在推进谈判。2012年底中日韩自贸区谈判的启动便是一例。
In fact,China has seen the trend of the bilateral or regional free trade cooperation,Signing free trade agreements with several countries,Or are pushing ahead with negotiations.At the end of 2012, China, Japan and South Korea free trade area negotiations start is an example.
但不得不指出的是,中国的自贸区发展现状存在两大弱势:第一,已经签订或正在谈判的自贸协定,开放水平较低,能够促进的双边贸易与投资有限。以东盟为例,中国签订“10+1”自贸协定后,美国与东盟国家又签了自贸协定。对比来看,美国-东盟自贸协定在贸易和投资程度上都要更深,这实际弱化了中国在这一自贸区中的优势。
But have to point out is,There are two big weaknesses in Chinese free trade area development:The first,Has been signed or are negotiating free trade agreements,Open the low level,To promote bilateral trade and investment co., LTD.The association of southeast Asian nations (asean), for example,China signed"10 + 1"After the fta,The United States and the association of southeast Asian nations (asean) countries and signed a free-trade agreement.By contrast,The china-asean fta on the degree of trade and investment are deeper,This actually weakened China's advantages in the free trade area.
第二,中国目前仍未启动与美欧日等主要经济体签订自贸协定的意向。只有与全球贸易体系中处于强势地位的经济大国开启自贸区合作,才能在新的全球贸易规则中,占据有利地位。
In the second,China is still not start to the us and Europe, major economies such as the signing the fta.Only with the global trading system in a strong position in the economic power to open free trade cooperation,Can in the new global trade rules,A good position.
十八大指出,将进一步“统筹双边、多边、区域次区域开放合作,加快实施自由贸易区战略”。
The eighteenth big pointed out,Will further"As a whole the bilateral/multilateral/Open regional sub-regional cooperation,To speed up implementation of the strategy of free trade zones".
那么,如何扭转中国在自贸区发展中的现状,在充满不确定性的国际贸易格局中,始终为自身争取有利位置?
then,How to reverse China's status in the development of free trade zone,In the uncertainty of the pattern of international trade,Always strive for good position for itself?
显然,仅盯住自贸区,发力于具体的技术环节,很难实质性推进。当下,中国亟需设计一整套完整的贸易开放战略。自贸协定或区域合作是中国经济开放总体战略的子战略,需要站在进一步推进改革开放的大背景下来认识。
clearly,Only on the free trade area,Power in the technology of concrete,It is difficult to promote.At the moment,China needs to design a set of complete openness to trade strategy.Free trade agreement or regional cooperation is China's economic opening strategy of strategy as a whole,Need to stand in the background to further advance the reform and open policy from understanding.
这一战略应至少包含三个层面。首先,要改革不适应市场经济发展的政策。政府要减少审批与限制,避免以单纯的行政手段刺激经济、扭曲经济运行规律。
This strategy should include at least three levels.First of all,Want to don't adapt to the development of market economy reform policy.For the government to reduce and limit of examination and approval,With simple administrative means to stimulate the economy/Distort economic operation rules.
第二,进一步扩大国内市场的开放,破除垄断,构建自由公平的游戏规则。过去人们认为,完全由政府控制的行业最安全,似乎这可以保证政府的调控力最强。多年经验证明,竞争才是管理的基本杠杆。越是封闭的行业,政府越管不了;而越开放竞争的行业,政府管起来越容易。封闭的行业中,没有替代者和竞争压力,垄断企业会用自己的垄断地位向政府要价。
In the second,To further expand the domestic market is open,Break monopolies,Building a free and fair rules of the game.It was once thought that,Completely controlled by the government of industry is the safest,This can ensure the government's regulatory powers seems to be the strongest.Years of experience to prove,The competition is the management of the basic lever.The more closed,The government to the tube;And the more open competition in the industry,The government tube more easy.Enclosed in the industry,No replacement and competitive pressure,Monopoly to the government would use their monopoly price.
第三,在对外开放的收益上,应从全局着眼,而不是各行业单独计算开放后的得失。对于当下竞争力不够强的行业,对外开放可能导致其市场份额减少,该行业的企业会因此遭受损失。但因此就说中国经济吃亏了,是无法成立,不能作为理由的。
In the third,On the opening to the outside income,Should from the global eyes,Industries rather than separate calculation of gain and loss after open.For the industry competitiveness is not strong,Risk reducing its share of the market opening to the outside world,Enterprise in the industry will suffer.But he said China's economic loses,Cannot be established,Not a good reason.
对于这一问题,应有一个基本认识,那就是行业开放度更大,进口更多物美价廉的产品与服务,可以提升老百姓的生活品质,这是我们改革开放的初衷。对于生产者,开放市场可以促进其竞争,倒逼创新水平的提高,并降低企业的进口成本与生产成本。改革开放的全民收益,需要从全局性上来考虑。
For this problem,Should have a basic understanding,That is a greater trade openness,To import more cheap and fine products and services,Can improve people's quality of life,This is our the purpose of the reform and opening up.For producers,Open market can promote its competition,The improvement of reversed transmission innovation level,And reduce the enterprise cost of imports and the cost of production.Reform and opening up of national income,Need to consider from overall situation.
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